Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Shimizu S-pulse Prediction & Expected Goals (24 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✓64% · @1.40

Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓84% · @1.10

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.75

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

06:00 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Shimizu S-pulse in the J1 League, played at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. In the table, Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th, among the top four, on 30 points after 18 matches; Shimizu S-pulse are 7th (lower half) with 24.

Current form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to V-varen Nagasaki, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Shimizu S-pulse, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Machida Zelvia, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Sanfrecce Hiroshima, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.3 for Shimizu S-pulse.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended Shimizu S-pulse 3–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1.9 xG, Shimizu S-pulse 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Sanfrecce Hiroshima 64%, draw 20%, Shimizu S-pulse 16%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win (64%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Shimizu S-pulse. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sanfrecce Hiroshima64%fair 1.56 · @1.40

Draw20%fair 5.00 · @4.60

Shimizu S-pulse16%fair 6.36 · @6.50

2.77Expected goals

1.95Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

0.82Shimizu S-pulse xG

57%Both score

52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%

2–012%

1–110%

2–110%

3–08%

3–16%

From our goals model: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1.9 – 0.8 Shimizu S-pulse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✓	64%	1.56	1.40
Double chance	Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓	84%	1.19	1.10
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	57%	1.76	1.75
Draw no bet	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (draw no bet) ✓	80%	1.24	–
Asian handicap	Sanfrecce Hiroshima -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	64%	1.57	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	76%	1.31	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	52%	1.91	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	70%	1.43	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	85%	1.17	–
First team to score	Sanfrecce Hiroshima to score first ✓	66%	1.52	–
Half-time result	Sanfrecce Hiroshima ahead at half-time ✓	46%	2.19	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Sanfrecce Hiroshima / FT Sanfrecce Hiroshima ✓	41%	2.46	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.23	–

Sanfrecce Hiroshima – last 6

LWWWWW

21 Oct	@ V-varen Nagasaki	0–4	L
17 Oct	vs Kyoto Sanga	3–0	W
14 Oct	@ Matsumoto Yamaga	1–0	W
11 Oct	@ Tokyo Verdy	2–0	W
7 Oct	vs Iwaki	4–0	W
29 Sep	@ Tochigi City	2–0	W

2.0Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

0%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Shimizu S-pulse – last 6

LDLWDW

21 Oct	vs Machida Zelvia	0–5	L
17 Oct	vs Gamba Osaka	2–2	D
14 Oct	@ Yokohama F. Marinos	1–2	L
11 Oct	@ Mito Hollyhock	2–1	W
7 Oct	vs V-varen Nagasaki	1–1	D
29 Sep	@ Kanazawa	2–0	W

1.3Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	11	7	+4	35
2	Cerezo Osaka	18	11	7	+9	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	10	8	+2	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	10	8	+8	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	10	8	+6	28
6	Fagiano Okayama	18	8	10	-3	26
7	Shimizu S-pulse	18	8	10	-2	24
8	Kyoto Sanga	18	8	10	-6	23
9	V-varen Nagasaki	18	7	11	-8	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	7	11	-10	21

Team

Pts

-3

-2

-6

-8

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse?

Our pick is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse?

On our numbers Sanfrecce Hiroshima have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Shimizu S-pulse 16%.

How many goals will there be in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse?

Our predicted score is Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Shimizu S-pulse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Shimizu S-pulse: numbers & prediction