Value bet: Machida Zelvia to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMachida Zelvia to win ✗38% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.86
Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
07:00 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Vissel Kobe v Machida Zelvia in the J1 League, played at Noevir Stadium Kobe. In the table, Vissel Kobe are 1st, leading the league, on 35 points after 18 matches; Machida Zelvia are 3rd (among the top four) with 37. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Vissel Kobe, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Kawasaki Frontale, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Machida Zelvia, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Shimizu S-pulse, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Machida Zelvia, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.0 for Vissel Kobe.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vissel Kobe 1.6 xG, Machida Zelvia 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vissel Kobe 37%, draw 24%, Machida Zelvia 38%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Machida Zelvia to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vissel Kobe 1–1 Machida Zelvia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vissel Kobe37%fair 2.67 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.00
Machida Zelvia38%fair 2.61 · @2.90
3.14Expected goals
1.56Vissel Kobe xG
1.58Machida Zelvia xG
55%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–27%
From our goals model: Vissel Kobe 1.6 – 1.6 Machida Zelvia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Machida Zelvia to win✗
38%
2.61
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.83
Draw no bet
Machida Zelvia (draw no bet)
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Vissel Kobe +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
First team to score
Machida Zelvia to score first✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Machida Zelvia / FT Machida Zelvia✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.86
–
Recent results
Vissel Kobe – last 6
LWWLWW
21 Oct
@ Kawasaki Frontale
1–2
L
18 Oct
@ Fagiano Okayama
3–0
W
14 Oct
vs Jeonbuk Motors
2–0
W
9 Oct
@ Kashiwa Reysol
2–4
L
23 Sep
vs Sagan Tosu
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Gamba Osaka
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Machida Zelvia – last 6
WWWWDW
21 Oct
@ Shimizu S-pulse
5–0
W
18 Oct
vs Avispa Fukuoka
3–0
W
15 Oct
@ Tampines Rovers
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Kyoto Sanga
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs Kyoto Sanga
0–0
D
23 Sep
vs Tochigi City
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vissel Kobe and Machida Zelvia.
What is the prediction for Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia?
On our numbers Vissel Kobe have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Machida Zelvia 38%.
How many goals will there be in Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia?
Our predicted score is Vissel Kobe 1–1 Machida Zelvia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia?
Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Noevir Stadium Kobe.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima4
Shimizu S-pulse0
Avispa Fukuoka1
Gamba Osaka2
Kyoto Sanga2