Tokyo Verdy v Avispa Fukuoka Prediction & Expected Goals (24 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultAvispa Fukuoka to win ✗42% · @2.40

Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.15

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.61

Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Avispa Fukuoka travel to face Tokyo Verdy on Saturday 24 October in the J1 League, with Ajinomoto Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 07:00 WAT. In the table, Tokyo Verdy are 5th, upper half, on 28 points after 18 matches; Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (in the drop zone) with 21.

Current form

Tokyo Verdy, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Yokohama F. Marinos, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Avispa Fukuoka, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Gamba Osaka, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tokyo Verdy 1.2 xG, Avispa Fukuoka 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Tokyo Verdy 34%, draw 25%, Avispa Fukuoka 42%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.15.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 2.15 – longer than our fair 1.87, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tokyo Verdy 1–1 Avispa Fukuoka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tokyo Verdy34%fair 2.99 · @3.00

Draw25%fair 4.06 · @2.90

Avispa Fukuoka42%fair 2.39 · @2.40

2.55Expected goals

1.19Tokyo Verdy xG

1.36Avispa Fukuoka xG

54%Both score

47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

0–111%

1–09%

1–29%

0–08%

2–17%

From our goals model: Tokyo Verdy 1.2 – 1.4 Avispa Fukuoka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Avispa Fukuoka to win ✗	42%	2.39	2.40
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	75%	1.33	1.36
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	54%	1.87	2.15 ▲
Draw no bet	Avispa Fukuoka (draw no bet) ✗	56%	1.80	–
Asian handicap	Tokyo Verdy +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	76%	1.32	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	72%	1.38	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	53%	1.88	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	75%	1.34	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	88%	1.13	–
First team to score	Avispa Fukuoka to score first ✗	49%	2.03	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	44%	2.29	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Avispa Fukuoka / FT Avispa Fukuoka ✗	24%	4.20	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.61	–

Tokyo Verdy – last 6

DLLDDL

21 Oct	@ Yokohama F. Marinos	2–2	D
17 Oct	vs FC Tokyo	0–4	L
11 Oct	vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0–2	L
7 Oct	@ Gainare Tottori	0–0	D
29 Sep	@ Sagan Tosu	1–1	D
19 Sep	@ Urawa	1–3	L

0.7Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Avispa Fukuoka – last 6

LLLWLD

21 Oct	vs Gamba Osaka	1–2	L
18 Oct	@ Machida Zelvia	0–3	L
14 Oct	@ Sagan Tosu	1–2	L
10 Oct	vs Fagiano Okayama	2–1	W
7 Oct	vs Yokohama FC	0–1	L
29 Sep	@ Osaka	1–1	D

0.8Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kashima	18	15	3	+20	45
2	FC Tokyo	18	13	5	+14	37
3	Machida Zelvia	18	13	5	+6	37
4	Kawasaki Frontale	18	10	8	-2	28
5	Tokyo Verdy	18	10	8	-4	28
6	Urawa	18	7	11	+3	25
7	Yokohama F. Marinos	18	6	12	-3	20
8	Kashiwa Reysol	18	7	11	-2	20
9	Mito Hollyhock	18	6	12	-16	18
10	JEF United Chiba	18	3	15	-16	12

Team

Pts

+20

+14

-2

-4

-3

-2

-16

-16

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.15.

Who will win Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka?

On our numbers Tokyo Verdy have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Avispa Fukuoka 42%.

How many goals will there be in Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Our predicted score is Tokyo Verdy 1–1 Avispa Fukuoka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Ajinomoto Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Tokyo Verdy v Avispa Fukuoka: numbers & prediction