Value bet: Atenas to win @ 2.55 – our chance 44% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAtenas to win ✓44% · @2.55
Double chanceAtenas or draw ✓73% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.70
Atenas vs Tacuarembo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tacuarembo travel to face Atenas on Saturday 27 June in the Segunda División – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Atenas are 1st, leading the league, on 44 points after 25 matches; Tacuarembo are 13th (in the drop zone) with 26. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atenas, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Plaza Colonia, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Tacuarembo, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Paysandu, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Apr 2026) it ended Atenas 1–0 Tacuarembo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atenas 1.4 xG, Tacuarembo 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atenas 44%, draw 28%, Tacuarembo 27%.
Lower-risk option: Atenas or draw (73%) at 1.35.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Atenas to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Atenas or draw (73%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atenas 1–0 Tacuarembo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atenas44%fair 2.26 · @2.55
Draw28%fair 3.53 · @2.90
Tacuarembo27%fair 3.66 · @2.75
2.17Expected goals
1.35Atenas xG
0.82Tacuarembo xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Atenas 1.4 – 0.8 Tacuarembo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atenas
Tacuarembo
Attack vs Segunda División average
+3%
-28%
Goals conceded vs average
-17%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.38
0.61
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Atenas or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Atenas vs Tacuarembo?
On our numbers Atenas have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Tacuarembo 27%.
How many goals will there be in Atenas vs Tacuarembo?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atenas vs Tacuarembo?
Our predicted score is Atenas 1–0 Tacuarembo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Atenas vs Tacuarembo?
Atenas vs Tacuarembo (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
