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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Paysandu v Miramar: numbers & prediction

2–3
FT

Miramar

LWDWD
Paysandu 39%Draw 27%Miramar 34% Expected goals 1.29 – 0.99
65%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1

Value bet: Paysandu to win @ 2.90 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultPaysandu to win ✗39% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.85

Paysandu vs Miramar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 27 June the Segunda División brings Paysandu against Miramar. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, Paysandu are 5th, upper half, on 35 points after 25 matches; Miramar are 12th (in the drop zone) with 30.

Current form

Paysandu, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Tacuarembo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Miramar, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sportivo Huracan, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Miramar, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Paysandu.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Mar 2026) it ended Paysandu 2–0 Miramar.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Paysandu 1.3 xG, Miramar 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Paysandu 39%, draw 27%, Miramar 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.93.
  • Price worth noting: Paysandu to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paysandu 1–1 Miramar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Paysandu39%fair 2.56 · @2.90
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @3.00
Miramar34%fair 2.98 · @2.38
2.28Expected goals
1.29Paysandu xG
0.99Miramar xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Paysandu 1.3 – 1.0 Miramar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

PaysanduMiramar
Attack vs Segunda División average+11%-13%
Goals conceded vs average-2%+2%
Our expected goals here1.480.87

Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPaysandu to win ✗39%2.562.90 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.381.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.881.93
Draw no betPaysandu (draw no bet) ✗54%1.86–
Asian handicapMiramar +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.531.44
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗60%1.661.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79%1.261.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗92%1.09–
First team to scorePaysandu to score first ✓51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Paysandu / FT Paysandu ✗25%3.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.85–

Recent results

Paysandu – last 6

LLWLDL
20 Jun@ Tacuarembo0–1L
14 Junvs Plaza Colonia1–2L
6 Jun@ La Luz2–1W
30 Mayvs Cerrito0–1L
17 Apr@ Plaza Colonia1–1D
10 Aprvs Rentistas0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Miramar – last 6

LWDWDL
19 Junvs Sportivo Huracan0–1L
13 Jun@ Uruguay Montevideo3–1W
8 Junvs Oriental2–2D
30 May@ Colón3–1W
25 Mayvs Fenix1–1D
17 May@ Rentistas0–1L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Mar 2026Paysandu v Miramar2–0
Paysandu vs Miramar head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Oriental6411+313
2Plaza Colonia6330+712
3Fenix6321+611
4Sportivo Huracan6240+310
5Colón6231+39
6Uruguay Montevideo6231+29
7Rentistas6231+19
8Cerrito623109
9La Luz6141-17
10Miramar6123-45
11Paysandu6114-34
12Atenas6114-64
13CA River Plate6114-74
14Tacuarembo6033-43

More Segunda División predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Paysandu vs Miramar?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Paysandu vs Miramar?

On our numbers Paysandu have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Miramar 34%.

How many goals will there be in Paysandu vs Miramar?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Paysandu vs Miramar?

Our predicted score is Paysandu 1–1 Miramar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Paysandu vs Miramar?

Paysandu vs Miramar (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.