Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 55% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFenix to win ✗47% · @1.95
Double chanceFenix or draw ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.83
Uruguay Montevideo vs Fenix: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Uruguay Montevideo welcome Fenix for a Segunda División fixture on Saturday 27 June (17:00 WAT). In the table, Uruguay Montevideo are 14th, in the drop zone, on 22 points after 25 matches; Fenix are 11th (lower half) with 31.
Current form
Uruguay Montevideo, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Rentistas, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Fenix, last 5: DDWDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Oriental, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Fenix, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Uruguay Montevideo.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Uruguay Montevideo 1–1 Fenix.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Uruguay Montevideo 1.0 xG, Fenix 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Uruguay Montevideo 24%, draw 29%, Fenix 47%.
Lower-risk option: Fenix or draw (76%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Fenix or draw (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Uruguay Montevideo 1–1 Fenix. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Uruguay Montevideo24%fair 4.09 · @3.75
Draw29%fair 3.48 · @3.10
Fenix47%fair 2.14 · @1.95
2.31Expected goals
1.01Uruguay Montevideo xG
1.30Fenix xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Uruguay Montevideo 1.0 – 1.3 Fenix expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Uruguay Montevideo
Fenix
Attack vs Segunda División average
-21%
-4%
Goals conceded vs average
+14%
+7%
Our expected goals here
1.10
1.12
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Uruguay Montevideo vs Fenix?
Our pick is Fenix or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Uruguay Montevideo vs Fenix?
On our numbers Uruguay Montevideo have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Fenix 47%.
How many goals will there be in Uruguay Montevideo vs Fenix?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Uruguay Montevideo vs Fenix?
Our predicted score is Uruguay Montevideo 1–1 Fenix, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Uruguay Montevideo vs Fenix?
Uruguay Montevideo vs Fenix (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
