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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Heart Of Midlothian v Dundee Utd: numbers & prediction

Premiership · Scotland · Tynecastle Park
4–0
FT
Heart Of Midlothian 57%Draw 22%Dundee Utd 21% Expected goals 1.80 – 1.15
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.73 – our chance 61% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultHeart Of Midlothian to win ✓57% · @1.63
Double chanceHeart Of Midlothian or draw ✓79% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26

Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Utd: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Dundee Utd travel to face Heart Of Midlothian on Sunday 9 August in the Premiership, with Tynecastle Park the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Heart Of Midlothian are 4th, among the top four, on 20 points after 12 matches; Dundee Utd are 6th (upper half) with 17. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Heart Of Midlothian, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–6 defeat to Benfica, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Dundee Utd, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Rangers, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Dundee Utd, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Heart Of Midlothian.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Heart Of Midlothian 1.8 xG, Dundee Utd 1.2 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Heart Of Midlothian 57%, draw 22%, Dundee Utd 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Heart Of Midlothian or draw (79%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Heart Of Midlothian 1–1 Dundee Utd. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Heart Of Midlothian57%fair 1.76 · @1.63
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.90
Dundee Utd21%fair 4.74 · @5.00
2.96Expected goals
1.80Heart Of Midlothian xG
1.15Dundee Utd xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–26%
0–16%

From our goals model: Heart Of Midlothian 1.8 – 1.2 Dundee Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHeart Of Midlothian to win ✓57%1.761.63
Double chanceHeart Of Midlothian or draw ✓79%1.271.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.631.73 ▲
Draw no betHeart Of Midlothian (draw no bet) ✓73%1.37–
Asian handicapDundee Utd +1 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.791.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗66%1.511.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.221.15
First team to scoreHeart Of Midlothian to score first ✓58%1.73–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.54–
Half-time / full-timeHT Heart Of Midlothian / FT Heart Of Midlothian ✓32%3.08–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.26–

Recent results

Heart Of Midlothian – last 6

LLLWLW
6 Aug@ Benfica1–6L
1 Aug@ Aberdeen1–2L
28 Julvs Sturm Graz0–2L
24 Jul@ Raith Rovers1–0W
21 Jul@ Sturm Graz0–4L
17 Julvs Rayo Vallecano2–1W
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Dundee Utd – last 6

DLWWLW
31 Julvs Rangers1–1D
25 Jul@ Salford City2–3L
21 Julvs Spartans4–0W
18 Julvs Arbroath3–0W
14 Jul@ Montrose0–1L
11 Jul@ Stirling Albion1–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Heart Of Midlothian and Dundee Utd.

Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Utd head-to-head page →

Premiership table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Celtic131012+1831
2Rangers12831+1227
3Falkirk13634+621
4Heart Of Midlothian12624+420
5Dundee12525+317
6Dundee Utd12453017
7ST Johnstone13454-317
8ST Mirren13427-1014
9Motherwell13346-613
10Hibernian12327-211
11Aberdeen12327-611
12Kilmarnock13238-169

More Premiership predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Utd?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Utd?

On our numbers Heart Of Midlothian have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Dundee Utd 21%.

How many goals will there be in Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Utd?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Utd?

Our predicted score is Heart Of Midlothian 1–1 Dundee Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Utd?

Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Utd (Premiership) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Tynecastle Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.