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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kilmarnock v Celtic: numbers & prediction

Premiership · Scotland · Rugby Park
1–5
FT

Celtic

WDDLD
Kilmarnock 17%Draw 20%Celtic 63% Expected goals 1.28 – 2.28
68%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.42Odds

Picks by market

ResultCeltic to win ✓63% · @1.38
Double chanceCeltic or draw ✓83% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.56

Kilmarnock vs Celtic: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 9 August the Premiership brings Kilmarnock against Celtic at Rugby Park. Kick-off: 13:30 WAT. In the table, Kilmarnock are 12th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 13 matches; Celtic are 1st (leading the league) with 31. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Kilmarnock, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to ST Johnstone, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Celtic, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Dundee, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Kilmarnock 2–3 Celtic.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kilmarnock 1.3 xG, Celtic 2.3 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kilmarnock 17%, draw 20%, Celtic 63%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kilmarnock 1–2 Celtic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kilmarnock17%fair 5.97 · @6.75
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @5.10
Celtic63%fair 1.59 · @1.38
3.56Expected goals
1.28Kilmarnock xG
2.28Celtic xG
61%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
1–18%
0–27%
1–37%
0–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Kilmarnock 1.3 – 2.3 Celtic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCeltic to win ✓63%1.591.38
Double chanceCeltic or draw ✓83%1.201.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.631.62
Draw no betCeltic (draw no bet) ✓79%1.27–
Asian handicapKilmarnock +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.171.12
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68%1.481.42
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗54%1.861.70
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗72%1.381.28
First team to scoreCeltic to score first ✓62%1.61–
Half-time resultCeltic ahead at half-time ✓45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Celtic / FT Celtic ✓39%2.58–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.56–

Recent results

Kilmarnock – last 6

LDWWDW
2 Aug@ ST Johnstone3–4L
25 Jul@ Peterhead0–0D
21 Julvs Hamilton Academical1–0W
18 Jul@ Elgin City1–0W
14 Julvs Raith Rovers0–0D
4 Jul@ Linfield3–2W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Celtic – last 6

WDDLDW
3 Augvs Dundee1–0W
25 Julvs AC Milan2–2D
18 Julvs Middlesbrough1–1D
14 Jul@ Sporting CP1–4L
7 Jul@ Shelbourne1–1D
23 Mayvs Dunfermline3–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Feb 2026Kilmarnock v Celtic2–3
Kilmarnock vs Celtic head-to-head page →

Premiership table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Celtic131012+1831
2Rangers12831+1227
3Falkirk13634+621
4Heart Of Midlothian12624+420
5Dundee12525+317
6Dundee Utd12453017
7ST Johnstone13454-317
8ST Mirren13427-1014
9Motherwell13346-613
10Hibernian12327-211
11Aberdeen12327-611
12Kilmarnock13238-169

More Premiership predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kilmarnock vs Celtic?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Kilmarnock vs Celtic?

On our numbers Kilmarnock have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Celtic 63%.

How many goals will there be in Kilmarnock vs Celtic?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kilmarnock vs Celtic?

Our predicted score is Kilmarnock 1–2 Celtic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Kilmarnock vs Celtic?

Kilmarnock vs Celtic (Premiership) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Rugby Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.