Value bet: Falkirk to win @ 4.00 – our chance 29% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMotherwell to win ✗47% · @1.81
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.04
Motherwell vs Falkirk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Motherwell welcome Falkirk to Fir Park for a Premiership fixture on Sunday 9 August (15:00 WAT). In the table, Motherwell are 9th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Falkirk are 3rd (among the top four) with 21.
Current form
Motherwell, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with HJK Helsinki, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Falkirk, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to ST Mirren, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Motherwell 1.3 xG, Falkirk 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Motherwell 47%, draw 25%, Falkirk 29%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Falkirk to win @4.00 – the bookmaker implies 25%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Motherwell 1–1 Falkirk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Motherwell47%fair 2.14 · @1.81
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.75
Falkirk29%fair 3.48 · @4.00
2.67Expected goals
1.35Motherwell xG
1.32Falkirk xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Motherwell 1.3 – 1.3 Falkirk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Motherwell to win✗
47%
2.14
1.81
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.65
Draw no bet
Motherwell (draw no bet)
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
Falkirk +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
1.15
First team to score
Motherwell to score first✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Motherwell / FT Motherwell✗
22%
4.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.04
–
Recent results
Motherwell – last 6
DWWWLL
6 Aug
@ HJK Helsinki
1–1
D
2 Aug
@ Hibernian
2–1
W
30 Jul
@ HB Torshavn
3–0
W
23 Jul
vs HB Torshavn
2–0
W
17 Jul
vs Genk
3–4
L
5 Jul
@ Aarhus
0–4
L
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Falkirk – last 6
LWDWLW
1 Aug
vs ST Mirren
0–2
L
25 Jul
vs Stranraer
3–0
W
21 Jul
@ Alloa Athletic
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Genk
1–0
W
14 Jul
vs Ayr Utd
0–1
L
11 Jul
@ Edinburgh City
5–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Motherwell and Falkirk.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Motherwell vs Falkirk?
On our numbers Motherwell have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Falkirk 29%.
How many goals will there be in Motherwell vs Falkirk?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Motherwell vs Falkirk?
Our predicted score is Motherwell 1–1 Falkirk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Motherwell vs Falkirk?
Motherwell vs Falkirk (Premiership) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Fir Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
