Falkirk 20%Draw 23%Heart Of Midlothian 57%Expected goals 0.93 – 1.77
80%
Betarazi pick
Heart Of Midlothian or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.29 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.29Odds
Picks by market
ResultHeart Of Midlothian to win ✗57% · @1.85
Double chanceHeart Of Midlothian or draw ✗80% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.21
Falkirk vs Heart Of Midlothian: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Falkirk welcome Heart Of Midlothian to Falkirk Stadium for a Premiership fixture on Tuesday 15 September (19:45 WAT). In the table, Falkirk are 3rd, among the top four, on 21 points after 13 matches; Heart Of Midlothian are 4th (among the top four) with 20. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Falkirk, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dundee Utd, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Heart Of Midlothian, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Stenhousemuir, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Heart Of Midlothian, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.8 for Falkirk.
Head to head
When they last met (13 May 2026) it ended Heart Of Midlothian 3–0 Falkirk. The last 2 head-to-heads: Falkirk 0 wins, Heart Of Midlothian 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Falkirk 0.9 xG, Heart Of Midlothian 1.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Falkirk 20%, draw 23%, Heart Of Midlothian 57%.
Lower-risk option: Heart Of Midlothian or draw (80%) at 1.29.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Heart Of Midlothian or draw (80%, odds 1.29 – longer than our fair 1.24, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Falkirk 0–1 Heart Of Midlothian. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Falkirk20%fair 5.11 · @3.60
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.50
Heart Of Midlothian57%fair 1.75 · @1.85
2.70Expected goals
0.93Falkirk xG
1.77Heart Of Midlothian xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–07%
1–06%
From our goals model: Falkirk 0.9 – 1.8 Heart Of Midlothian expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Falkirk vs Heart Of Midlothian?
Our pick is Heart Of Midlothian or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Falkirk vs Heart Of Midlothian?
On our numbers Falkirk have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Heart Of Midlothian 57%.
How many goals will there be in Falkirk vs Heart Of Midlothian?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Falkirk vs Heart Of Midlothian?
Our predicted score is Falkirk 0–1 Heart Of Midlothian, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Falkirk vs Heart Of Midlothian?
Falkirk vs Heart Of Midlothian (Premiership) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Falkirk Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
