Hibernian vs Kilmarnock: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kilmarnock travel to face Hibernian on Tuesday 15 September in the Premiership, with Easter Road the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Hibernian are 10th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 12 matches; Kilmarnock are 12th (in the drop zone) with 9. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Hibernian, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Ross County, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Kilmarnock, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Aberdeen, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hibernian 2.5 xG, Kilmarnock 0.9 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hibernian 68%, draw 21%, Kilmarnock 10%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Hibernian to win (68%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.46, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hibernian 2–0 Kilmarnock. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hibernian68%fair 1.46 · @1.50
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @4.20
Kilmarnock10%fair 9.73 · @5.50
3.40Expected goals
2.46Hibernian xG
0.94Kilmarnock xG
62%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–19%
3–08%
1–08%
3–18%
1–18%
From our goals model: Hibernian 2.5 – 0.9 Kilmarnock expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hibernian to win✗
68%
1.46
1.50
Double chance
Hibernian or draw✗
90%
1.11
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.62
Draw no bet
Hibernian (draw no bet)✗
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Hibernian -1 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
First team to score
Hibernian to score first✗
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Hibernian ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hibernian / FT Hibernian✗
47%
2.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.53
–
Recent results
Hibernian – last 6
WLLWLD
12 Sep
@ Ross County
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ ST Johnstone
1–2
L
3 Sep
vs Heart Of Midlothian
1–3
L
30 Aug
@ Dundee
2–1
W
27 Aug
vs Gent
2–3
L
20 Aug
@ Gent
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Kilmarnock – last 6
DDLLWL
12 Sep
vs Aberdeen
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Aberdeen
0–0
D
2 Sep
vs ST Mirren
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Dundee Utd
0–4
L
14 Aug
vs Ayr Utd
3–2
W
9 Aug
vs Celtic
1–5
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hibernian and Kilmarnock.
What is the prediction for Hibernian vs Kilmarnock?
Our pick is Hibernian to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Hibernian vs Kilmarnock?
On our numbers Hibernian have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kilmarnock 10%.
How many goals will there be in Hibernian vs Kilmarnock?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hibernian vs Kilmarnock?
Our predicted score is Hibernian 2–0 Kilmarnock, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Hibernian vs Kilmarnock?
Hibernian vs Kilmarnock (Premiership) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Easter Road.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
