Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultMotherwell to win ✗56% · @1.83
Double chanceMotherwell or draw ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.45
Motherwell vs Aberdeen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Motherwell welcome Aberdeen to Fir Park for a Premiership fixture on Tuesday 15 September (19:45 WAT). In the table, Motherwell are 9th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Aberdeen are 11th (in the drop zone) with 11. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Motherwell, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Rangers, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Aberdeen, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kilmarnock, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Feb 2026) it ended Aberdeen 2–0 Motherwell. The last 2 head-to-heads: Motherwell 1 win, Aberdeen 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Motherwell 1.5 xG, Aberdeen 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Motherwell 56%, draw 25%, Aberdeen 19%.
Lower-risk option: Motherwell or draw (81%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Motherwell or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Motherwell 1–0 Aberdeen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Motherwell56%fair 1.78 · @1.83
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.50
Aberdeen19%fair 5.31 · @3.90
2.20Expected goals
1.48Motherwell xG
0.72Aberdeen xG
56%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Motherwell 1.5 – 0.7 Aberdeen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Motherwell vs Aberdeen?
Our pick is Motherwell or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Motherwell vs Aberdeen?
On our numbers Motherwell have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Aberdeen 19%.
How many goals will there be in Motherwell vs Aberdeen?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Motherwell vs Aberdeen?
Our predicted score is Motherwell 1–0 Aberdeen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Motherwell vs Aberdeen?
Motherwell vs Aberdeen (Premiership) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Fir Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
