Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultAberdeen to win ✓57% · @1.85
Double chanceAberdeen or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.82
Aberdeen vs ST Mirren: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aberdeen welcome ST Mirren to Pittodrie Stadium for a Premiership fixture on Saturday 17 October (15:00 WAT). In the table, Aberdeen are 11th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 12 matches; ST Mirren are 8th (lower half) with 14. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Aberdeen, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to ST Johnstone, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
ST Mirren, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Heart Of Midlothian, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Aberdeen, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for ST Mirren.
Head to head
When they last met (12 May 2026) it ended Aberdeen 0–2 ST Mirren.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aberdeen 1.6 xG, ST Mirren 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aberdeen 57%, draw 24%, ST Mirren 19%.
Lower-risk option: Aberdeen or draw (81%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Aberdeen or draw (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aberdeen 1–0 ST Mirren. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aberdeen57%fair 1.75 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.40
ST Mirren19%fair 5.37 · @4.00
2.38Expected goals
1.60Aberdeen xG
0.78ST Mirren xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–112%
0–09%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Aberdeen 1.6 – 0.8 ST Mirren expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Aberdeen or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Aberdeen vs ST Mirren?
On our numbers Aberdeen have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and ST Mirren 19%.
How many goals will there be in Aberdeen vs ST Mirren?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aberdeen vs ST Mirren?
Our predicted score is Aberdeen 1–0 ST Mirren, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Aberdeen vs ST Mirren?
Aberdeen vs ST Mirren (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Pittodrie Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
