Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultMotherwell to win ✗47% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.84
Kilmarnock vs Motherwell: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Motherwell travel to face Kilmarnock on Saturday 17 October in the Premiership, with Rugby Park the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Kilmarnock are 12th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 13 matches; Motherwell are 9th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Kilmarnock, last 5: LDWDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Rangers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Motherwell, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Celtic, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kilmarnock 1.3 xG, Motherwell 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kilmarnock 32%, draw 21%, Motherwell 47%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kilmarnock 1–1 Motherwell. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kilmarnock32%fair 3.13 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.40
Motherwell47%fair 2.15 · @2.10
2.94Expected goals
1.31Kilmarnock xG
1.63Motherwell xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%
From our goals model: Kilmarnock 1.3 – 1.6 Motherwell expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Motherwell to win✗
47%
2.15
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.55
Draw no bet
Motherwell (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Kilmarnock +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Motherwell to score first
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Motherwell / FT Motherwell✗
27%
3.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.84
–
Recent results
Kilmarnock – last 6
LDWDDL
10 Oct
@ Rangers
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Heart Of Midlothian
1–1
D
15 Sep
@ Hibernian
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Aberdeen
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Aberdeen
0–0
D
2 Sep
vs ST Mirren
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Motherwell – last 6
LLLLWD
11 Oct
vs Celtic
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Dundee
1–2
L
15 Sep
vs Aberdeen
0–4
L
5 Sep
@ Rangers
0–1
L
2 Sep
vs Dundee Utd
3–0
W
30 Aug
@ ST Mirren
3–3
D
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kilmarnock and Motherwell.
What is the prediction for Kilmarnock vs Motherwell?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Kilmarnock vs Motherwell?
On our numbers Kilmarnock have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Motherwell 47%.
How many goals will there be in Kilmarnock vs Motherwell?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kilmarnock vs Motherwell?
Our predicted score is Kilmarnock 1–1 Motherwell, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Kilmarnock vs Motherwell?
Kilmarnock vs Motherwell (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Rugby Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
