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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hibernian v Falkirk: numbers & prediction

Premiership · Scotland · Easter Road
1–2
FT

Falkirk

LDWDL
Hibernian 60%Draw 25%Falkirk 15% Expected goals 1.67 – 0.71
60%
Betarazi pick

Hibernian to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultHibernian to win ✗60% · @1.67
Double chanceHibernian or draw ✗85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.92

Hibernian vs Falkirk: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 17 October: Hibernian v Falkirk in the Premiership, played at Easter Road. In the table, Hibernian are 10th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 12 matches; Falkirk are 3rd (among the top four) with 21.

Current form

Hibernian, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Dundee Utd, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Falkirk, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Dundee, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hibernian 1.7 xG, Falkirk 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hibernian 60%, draw 25%, Falkirk 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: Hibernian or draw (85%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Hibernian to win (60%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hibernian 1–0 Falkirk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hibernian60%fair 1.67 · @1.67
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.70
Falkirk15%fair 6.64 · @4.60
2.38Expected goals
1.67Hibernian xG
0.71Falkirk xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%

From our goals model: Hibernian 1.7 – 0.7 Falkirk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHibernian to win ✗60%1.671.67
Double chanceHibernian or draw ✗85%1.181.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.851.73
Draw no betHibernian (draw no bet) ✗80%1.25–
Asian handicapHibernian -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.74–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreHibernian to score first64%1.57–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hibernian / FT Hibernian ✗37%2.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.92–

Recent results

Hibernian – last 6

LDLWLL
10 Oct@ Dundee Utd0–1L
19 Sepvs Aberdeen1–1D
15 Sepvs Kilmarnock0–1L
12 Sep@ Ross County3–0W
6 Sep@ ST Johnstone1–2L
3 Sepvs Heart Of Midlothian1–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Falkirk – last 6

LDWDLL
10 Octvs Dundee1–2L
19 Sep@ ST Johnstone1–1D
15 Sepvs Heart Of Midlothian2–1W
5 Sep@ Dundee Utd1–1D
2 Sepvs Rangers1–2L
29 Aug@ Celtic1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Hibernian and Falkirk.

Hibernian vs Falkirk head-to-head page →

Premiership table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Celtic131012+1831
2Rangers12831+1227
3Falkirk13634+621
4Heart Of Midlothian12624+420
5Dundee12525+317
6Dundee Utd12453017
7ST Johnstone13454-317
8ST Mirren13427-1014
9Motherwell13346-613
10Hibernian12327-211
11Aberdeen12327-611
12Kilmarnock13238-169

More Premiership predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hibernian vs Falkirk?

Our pick is Hibernian to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Hibernian vs Falkirk?

On our numbers Hibernian have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Falkirk 15%.

How many goals will there be in Hibernian vs Falkirk?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hibernian vs Falkirk?

Our predicted score is Hibernian 1–0 Falkirk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Hibernian vs Falkirk?

Hibernian vs Falkirk (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Easter Road.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.