Value bet: Falkirk to win @ 3.30 – our chance 37% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAberdeen to win ✗41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.23
Aberdeen vs Falkirk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aberdeen welcome Falkirk to Pittodrie Stadium for a Premiership fixture on Wednesday 28 October (20:45 WAT). In the table, Aberdeen are 11th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 12 matches; Falkirk are 3rd (among the top four) with 21.
Current form
Aberdeen, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Dundee Utd, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Falkirk, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Kilmarnock, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aberdeen 1.3 xG, Falkirk 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aberdeen 41%, draw 22%, Falkirk 37%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Falkirk to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aberdeen 1–1 Falkirk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aberdeen41%fair 2.44 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.30
Falkirk37%fair 2.69 · @3.30
2.45Expected goals
1.26Aberdeen xG
1.19Falkirk xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Aberdeen 1.3 – 1.2 Falkirk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aberdeen to win✗
41%
2.44
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.65
Draw no bet
Aberdeen (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Falkirk +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Aberdeen to score first✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aberdeen / FT Aberdeen✗
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.23
–
Recent results
Aberdeen – last 6
LWLWDW
24 Oct
@ Dundee Utd
2–3
L
17 Oct
vs ST Mirren
3–1
W
11 Oct
vs ST Johnstone
0–1
L
3 Oct
@ Dunfermline
4–1
W
19 Sep
@ Hibernian
1–1
D
15 Sep
@ Motherwell
4–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Falkirk – last 6
WWLDWD
24 Oct
vs Kilmarnock
3–0
W
17 Oct
@ Hibernian
2–1
W
10 Oct
vs Dundee
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ ST Johnstone
1–1
D
15 Sep
vs Heart Of Midlothian
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Dundee Utd
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aberdeen and Falkirk.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Aberdeen vs Falkirk?
On our numbers Aberdeen have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Falkirk 37%.
How many goals will there be in Aberdeen vs Falkirk?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aberdeen vs Falkirk?
Our predicted score is Aberdeen 1–1 Falkirk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Aberdeen vs Falkirk?
Aberdeen vs Falkirk (Premiership) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Pittodrie Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
