Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.95Odds
Picks by market
ResultDundee to win ✓63% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Dundee vs Kilmarnock: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 28 October the Premiership brings Dundee against Kilmarnock at Dens Park. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, Dundee are 5th, upper half, on 17 points after 12 matches; Kilmarnock are 12th (in the drop zone) with 9.
Current form
Dundee, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to ST Mirren, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Kilmarnock, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Falkirk, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (12 May 2026) it ended Kilmarnock 3–1 Dundee.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dundee 2.0 xG, Kilmarnock 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dundee 63%, draw 16%, Kilmarnock 22%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Dundee to win (63%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.60, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dundee 1–0 Kilmarnock. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dundee63%fair 1.60 · @1.95
Draw16%fair 6.28 · @3.60
Kilmarnock22%fair 4.64 · @3.40
2.95Expected goals
1.95Dundee xG
1.00Kilmarnock xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–010%
1–110%
2–010%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Dundee 2.0 – 1.0 Kilmarnock expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Dundee to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
On our numbers Dundee have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Kilmarnock 22%.
How many goals will there be in Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
Our predicted score is Dundee 1–0 Kilmarnock, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
Dundee vs Kilmarnock (Premiership) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Dens Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
