ST Johnstone 41%Draw 22%Motherwell 37%Expected goals 1.42 – 1.33
59%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultST Johnstone to win ✗41% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.67
ST Johnstone vs Motherwell: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 28 October the Premiership brings ST Johnstone against Motherwell at McDiarmid Park. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, ST Johnstone are 7th, lower half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Motherwell are 9th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
ST Johnstone, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Rangers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Motherwell, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Heart Of Midlothian, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours ST Johnstone, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.0 for Motherwell.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ST Johnstone 1.4 xG, Motherwell 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ST Johnstone 41%, draw 22%, Motherwell 37%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: ST Johnstone 1–1 Motherwell. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ST Johnstone41%fair 2.45 · @2.40
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.30
Motherwell37%fair 2.72 · @2.70
2.75Expected goals
1.42ST Johnstone xG
1.33Motherwell xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: ST Johnstone 1.4 – 1.3 Motherwell expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ST Johnstone to win✗
41%
2.45
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.62
Draw no bet
ST Johnstone (draw no bet)
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Motherwell +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
ST Johnstone to score first
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ST Johnstone / FT ST Johnstone✗
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.67
–
Recent results
ST Johnstone – last 6
LDWDLW
24 Oct
@ Rangers
0–4
L
17 Oct
vs Dundee Utd
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Aberdeen
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Falkirk
1–1
D
9 Sep
vs Celtic
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Hibernian
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Motherwell – last 6
LLLLLL
25 Oct
vs Heart Of Midlothian
0–2
L
17 Oct
@ Kilmarnock
2–3
L
11 Oct
vs Celtic
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Dundee
1–2
L
15 Sep
vs Aberdeen
0–4
L
5 Sep
@ Rangers
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ST Johnstone and Motherwell.
What is the prediction for ST Johnstone vs Motherwell?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win ST Johnstone vs Motherwell?
On our numbers ST Johnstone have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Motherwell 37%.
How many goals will there be in ST Johnstone vs Motherwell?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ST Johnstone vs Motherwell?
Our predicted score is ST Johnstone 1–1 Motherwell, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is ST Johnstone vs Motherwell?
ST Johnstone vs Motherwell (Premiership) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at McDiarmid Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.