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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

ST Johnstone v Motherwell: numbers & prediction

Premiership · Scotland · McDiarmid Park
2–2
FT
ST Johnstone 41%Draw 22%Motherwell 37% Expected goals 1.42 – 1.33
59%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultST Johnstone to win ✗41% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.67

ST Johnstone vs Motherwell: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 28 October the Premiership brings ST Johnstone against Motherwell at McDiarmid Park. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, ST Johnstone are 7th, lower half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Motherwell are 9th (lower half) with 13.

Current form

ST Johnstone, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Rangers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Motherwell, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Heart Of Midlothian, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours ST Johnstone, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.0 for Motherwell.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give ST Johnstone 1.4 xG, Motherwell 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – ST Johnstone 41%, draw 22%, Motherwell 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: ST Johnstone 1–1 Motherwell. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

ST Johnstone41%fair 2.45 · @2.40
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.30
Motherwell37%fair 2.72 · @2.70
2.75Expected goals
1.42ST Johnstone xG
1.33Motherwell xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–06%

From our goals model: ST Johnstone 1.4 – 1.3 Motherwell expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultST Johnstone to win ✗41%2.452.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.691.62
Draw no betST Johnstone (draw no bet)53%1.90–
Asian handicapMotherwell +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.93–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.42–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreST Johnstone to score first48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT ST Johnstone / FT ST Johnstone ✗23%4.36–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.67–

Recent results

ST Johnstone – last 6

LDWDLW
24 Oct@ Rangers0–4L
17 Octvs Dundee Utd1–1D
11 Oct@ Aberdeen1–0W
19 Sepvs Falkirk1–1D
9 Sepvs Celtic0–1L
6 Sepvs Hibernian2–1W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Motherwell – last 6

LLLLLL
25 Octvs Heart Of Midlothian0–2L
17 Oct@ Kilmarnock2–3L
11 Octvs Celtic0–2L
19 Sep@ Dundee1–2L
15 Sepvs Aberdeen0–4L
5 Sep@ Rangers0–1L
0.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between ST Johnstone and Motherwell.

ST Johnstone vs Motherwell head-to-head page →

Premiership table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Celtic131012+1831
2Rangers12831+1227
3Falkirk13634+621
4Heart Of Midlothian12624+420
5Dundee12525+317
6Dundee Utd12453017
7ST Johnstone13454-317
8ST Mirren13427-1014
9Motherwell13346-613
10Hibernian12327-211
11Aberdeen12327-611
12Kilmarnock13238-169

More Premiership predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for ST Johnstone vs Motherwell?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win ST Johnstone vs Motherwell?

On our numbers ST Johnstone have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Motherwell 37%.

How many goals will there be in ST Johnstone vs Motherwell?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for ST Johnstone vs Motherwell?

Our predicted score is ST Johnstone 1–1 Motherwell, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is ST Johnstone vs Motherwell?

ST Johnstone vs Motherwell (Premiership) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at McDiarmid Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.