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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Arbroath v Inverness CT: numbers & prediction

Championship · Scotland · Gayfield Park
0–0
FT
Arbroath 33%Draw 26%Inverness CT 42% Expected goals 0.93 – 1.18
79%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultInverness CT to win ✗42% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.71

Arbroath vs Inverness CT: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 8 August the Championship brings Arbroath against Inverness CT at Gayfield Park. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Arbroath are 8th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 14 matches; Inverness CT are 6th (lower half) with 20.

Current form

Arbroath, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Ayr Utd, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Inverness CT, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Dunfermline, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Inverness CT, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Arbroath.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Arbroath 0.9 xG, Inverness CT 1.2 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Arbroath 33%, draw 26%, Inverness CT 42%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arbroath 0–1 Inverness CT. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Arbroath33%fair 3.06 · @2.98
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.25
Inverness CT42%fair 2.40 · @2.25
2.11Expected goals
0.93Arbroath xG
1.18Inverness CT xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%

From our goals model: Arbroath 0.9 – 1.2 Inverness CT expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

ArbroathInverness CT
Attack vs Championship average-18%+16%
Goals conceded vs average+28%+7%
Our expected goals here1.111.58

Our own ratings from every Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultInverness CT to win ✗42%2.402.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74%1.351.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.811.80
Draw no betInverness CT (draw no bet)56%1.78–
Asian handicapArbroath +1 (Asian handicap) ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗66%1.521.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.671.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.261.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
First team to scoreInverness CT to score first ✗49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Inverness CT / FT Inverness CT ✗24%4.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.71–

Recent results

Arbroath – last 6

LWLLWW
1 Aug@ Ayr Utd0–2L
25 Julvs Stirling Albion1–0W
21 Julvs Montrose0–2L
18 Jul@ Dundee Utd0–3L
11 Jul@ Spartans2–1W
4 Julvs Brechin4–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Inverness CT – last 6

DWWWDW
1 Augvs Dunfermline0–0D
25 Jul@ Morton1–0W
21 Julvs ST Johnstone1–0W
18 Jul@ Linlithgow Rose2–0W
11 Julvs East Fife1–1D
7 Jul@ Cove Rangers4–1W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Arbroath and Inverness CT.

Arbroath vs Inverness CT head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Partick14842+1128
2Raith Rovers14743+1125
3Dunfermline14671+825
4Stenhousemuir14725023
5Livingston14635+721
6Inverness CT14554+120
7Ayr Utd13436-415
8Arbroath14428-1214
9Morton13418-713
10Queen's Park142111-157

More Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Arbroath vs Inverness CT?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Arbroath vs Inverness CT?

On our numbers Arbroath have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Inverness CT 42%.

How many goals will there be in Arbroath vs Inverness CT?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Arbroath vs Inverness CT?

Our predicted score is Arbroath 0–1 Inverness CT, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Arbroath vs Inverness CT?

Arbroath vs Inverness CT (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Gayfield Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.