Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.70 – our chance 62% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDunfermline to win ✗49% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.95
Dunfermline vs Ayr Utd: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 8 August: Dunfermline v Ayr Utd in the Championship, played at East End Park. In the table, Dunfermline are 3rd, among the top four, on 25 points after 14 matches; Ayr Utd are 7th (lower half) with 15.
Current form
Dunfermline, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Inverness CT, away. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Ayr Utd, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Arbroath, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Ayr Utd, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.2 for Dunfermline.
Head to head
When they last met (7 Apr 2026) it ended Ayr Utd 0–3 Dunfermline.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dunfermline 1.3 xG, Ayr Utd 0.7 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dunfermline 49%, draw 25%, Ayr Utd 26%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dunfermline 1–0 Ayr Utd. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dunfermline49%fair 2.05 · @2.08
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.25
Ayr Utd26%fair 3.86 · @3.30
1.93Expected goals
1.27Dunfermline xG
0.66Ayr Utd xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
0–015%
1–112%
2–012%
0–110%
2–18%
From our goals model: Dunfermline 1.3 – 0.7 Ayr Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Dunfermline
Ayr Utd
Attack vs Championship average
+0%
-8%
Goals conceded vs average
-39%
+27%
Our expected goals here
1.62
0.60
Our own ratings from every Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Dunfermline vs Ayr Utd?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Dunfermline vs Ayr Utd?
On our numbers Dunfermline have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ayr Utd 26%.
How many goals will there be in Dunfermline vs Ayr Utd?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dunfermline vs Ayr Utd?
Our predicted score is Dunfermline 1–0 Ayr Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Dunfermline vs Ayr Utd?
Dunfermline vs Ayr Utd (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at East End Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
