Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Raith Rovers to win @ 1.94 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRaith Rovers to win ✓60% · @1.94
Double chanceRaith Rovers or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.94
Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Raith Rovers welcome Ayr Utd for a Championship fixture on Saturday 22 August (15:00 WAT). In the table, Raith Rovers are 2nd, among the top four, on 25 points after 14 matches; Ayr Utd are 7th (lower half) with 15.
Current form
Raith Rovers, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Queen's Park, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Ayr Utd, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Kilmarnock, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Ayr Utd, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Raith Rovers.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Mar 2026) it ended Raith Rovers 3–0 Ayr Utd.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Raith Rovers 1.6 xG, Ayr Utd 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Raith Rovers 60%, draw 22%, Ayr Utd 17%.
Lower-risk option: Raith Rovers or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Raith Rovers to win @1.94 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Raith Rovers or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Raith Rovers 1–0 Ayr Utd. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Raith Rovers60%fair 1.66 · @1.94
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.30
Ayr Utd17%fair 5.77 · @3.65
2.36Expected goals
1.63Raith Rovers xG
0.72Ayr Utd xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Raith Rovers 1.6 – 0.7 Ayr Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd?
Our pick is Raith Rovers or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd?
On our numbers Raith Rovers have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ayr Utd 17%.
How many goals will there be in Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd?
Our predicted score is Raith Rovers 1–0 Ayr Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd?
Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
