Arbroath vs Livingston: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Livingston travel to face Arbroath on Saturday 29 August in the Championship, with Gayfield Park the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Arbroath are 8th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 14 matches; Livingston are 5th (upper half) with 21.
Current form
Arbroath, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Morton, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Livingston, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Dunfermline, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Livingston, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Arbroath.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arbroath 0.9 xG, Livingston 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arbroath 29%, draw 21%, Livingston 49%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arbroath 0–1 Livingston. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arbroath29%fair 3.41 · @3.35
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.45
Livingston49%fair 2.02 · @1.98
2.29Expected goals
0.94Arbroath xG
1.35Livingston xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–010%
1–010%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: Arbroath 0.9 – 1.3 Livingston expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Livingston to win✗
49%
2.02
1.98
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.65
Draw no bet
Livingston (draw no bet)✗
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Arbroath +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Livingston to score first✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Livingston / FT Livingston✗
27%
3.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.54
–
Recent results
Arbroath – last 6
WDLWLL
22 Aug
@ Morton
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Inverness CT
0–0
D
1 Aug
@ Ayr Utd
0–2
L
25 Jul
vs Stirling Albion
1–0
W
21 Jul
vs Montrose
0–2
L
18 Jul
@ Dundee Utd
0–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Livingston – last 6
WLWDWD
22 Aug
vs Dunfermline
2–0
W
7 Aug
@ Partick
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Queen's Park
2–0
W
25 Jul
@ Stenhousemuir
0–0
D
21 Jul
vs Forfar Athletic
8–0
W
18 Jul
vs Partick
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arbroath and Livingston.
What is the prediction for Arbroath vs Livingston?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Arbroath vs Livingston?
On our numbers Arbroath have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Livingston 49%.
How many goals will there be in Arbroath vs Livingston?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arbroath vs Livingston?
Our predicted score is Arbroath 0–1 Livingston, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Arbroath vs Livingston?
Arbroath vs Livingston (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Gayfield Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
