Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Inverness CT to win @ 1.94 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultInverness CT to win ✗61% · @1.94
Double chanceInverness CT or draw ✗84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.21
Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 29 August the Championship brings Stenhousemuir against Inverness CT at Ochilview Park. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Stenhousemuir are 4th, among the top four, on 23 points after 14 matches; Inverness CT are 6th (lower half) with 20. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Stenhousemuir, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Queen's Park, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Inverness CT, last 5: DLDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Partick, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Inverness CT 1–1 Stenhousemuir.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stenhousemuir 0.5 xG, Inverness CT 1.4 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stenhousemuir 16%, draw 23%, Inverness CT 61%.
Lower-risk option: Inverness CT or draw (84%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Inverness CT to win @1.94 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Inverness CT or draw (84%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stenhousemuir 0–1 Inverness CT. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stenhousemuir16%fair 6.31 · @3.60
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.35
Inverness CT61%fair 1.64 · @1.94
1.94Expected goals
0.53Stenhousemuir xG
1.41Inverness CT xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–120%
0–014%
0–214%
1–111%
1–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Stenhousemuir 0.5 – 1.4 Inverness CT expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT?
Our pick is Inverness CT or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT?
On our numbers Stenhousemuir have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Inverness CT 61%.
How many goals will there be in Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT?
Our predicted score is Stenhousemuir 0–1 Inverness CT, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT?
Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Ochilview Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
