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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Arbroath v Dunfermline: numbers & prediction

Championship · Scotland · Gayfield Park
1–1
FT
Arbroath 40%Draw 25%Dunfermline 35% Expected goals 0.74 – 0.64
55%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.81 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultArbroath to win ✗40% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.40

Arbroath vs Dunfermline: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 5 September: Arbroath v Dunfermline in the Championship, played at Gayfield Park. In the table, Arbroath are 8th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 14 matches; Dunfermline are 3rd (among the top four) with 25.

Current form

Arbroath, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Livingston, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Dunfermline, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Raith Rovers, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (8 May 2026) it ended Arbroath 0–0 Dunfermline. The last 4 head-to-heads: Arbroath 1 win, Dunfermline 1, draws 2. Those games averaged 1.8 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Arbroath 0.7 xG, Dunfermline 0.6 xG – a total near 1.4. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 84%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Arbroath 40%, draw 25%, Dunfermline 35%.
  • GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (55%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.81, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arbroath 0–0 Dunfermline. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Arbroath40%fair 2.47 · @2.60
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @2.90
Dunfermline35%fair 2.86 · @2.70
1.38Expected goals
0.74Arbroath xG
0.64Dunfermline xG
45%Both score
16%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–025%
1–019%
0–116%
1–112%
2–07%
0–25%

From our goals model: Arbroath 0.7 – 0.6 Dunfermline expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArbroath to win ✗40%2.472.60 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75%1.331.36
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗55%1.811.85
Draw no betArbroath (draw no bet)54%1.86–
Asian handicapDunfermline +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗60%1.67–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓99%1.01–
First team to scoreArbroath to score first40%2.51–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓60%1.68–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✓32%3.15–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19%5.40–

Recent results

Arbroath – last 6

WWDLWL
29 Augvs Livingston1–0W
22 Aug@ Morton2–1W
8 Augvs Inverness CT0–0D
1 Aug@ Ayr Utd0–2L
25 Julvs Stirling Albion1–0W
21 Julvs Montrose0–2L
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Dunfermline – last 6

WLLDDW
28 Augvs Raith Rovers1–0W
22 Aug@ Livingston0–2L
15 Augvs Ross County1–2L
8 Augvs Ayr Utd1–1D
1 Aug@ Inverness CT0–0D
26 Jul@ ST Mirren1–0W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 May 2026Arbroath v Dunfermline0–0
5 May 2026Dunfermline v Arbroath1–0
1 May 2026Dunfermline v Arbroath0–0
21 Feb 2026Arbroath v Dunfermline4–2
Arbroath vs Dunfermline head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Partick14842+1128
2Raith Rovers14743+1125
3Dunfermline14671+825
4Stenhousemuir14725023
5Livingston14635+721
6Inverness CT14554+120
7Ayr Utd13436-415
8Arbroath14428-1214
9Morton13418-713
10Queen's Park142111-157

More Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Arbroath vs Dunfermline?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Arbroath vs Dunfermline?

On our numbers Arbroath have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Dunfermline 35%.

How many goals will there be in Arbroath vs Dunfermline?

We expect about 1.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 16% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Arbroath vs Dunfermline?

Our predicted score is Arbroath 0–0 Dunfermline, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.4 goals in total.

When is Arbroath vs Dunfermline?

Arbroath vs Dunfermline (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Gayfield Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.