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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Inverness CT v Raith Rovers: numbers & prediction

Championship · Scotland · Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
0–2
FT
Inverness CT 35%Draw 23%Raith Rovers 42% Expected goals 0.82 – 0.93
50%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.99 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.75Odds
2

Value bet: Raith Rovers to win @ 2.90 – our chance 42% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultRaith Rovers to win ✓42% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗6% · fair 16.21

Inverness CT vs Raith Rovers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 5 September the Championship brings Inverness CT against Raith Rovers at Tulloch Caledonian Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Inverness CT are 6th, lower half, on 20 points after 14 matches; Raith Rovers are 2nd (among the top four) with 25.

Current form

Inverness CT, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Stenhousemuir, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Raith Rovers, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Dunfermline, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Raith Rovers, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Inverness CT.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Raith Rovers 4–1 Inverness CT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Inverness CT 0.8 xG, Raith Rovers 0.9 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 74%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Inverness CT 35%, draw 23%, Raith Rovers 42%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: Raith Rovers to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 42%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (50%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Inverness CT 1–1 Raith Rovers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Inverness CT35%fair 2.83 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.10
Raith Rovers42%fair 2.41 · @2.90
1.75Expected goals
0.82Inverness CT xG
0.93Raith Rovers xG
50%Both score
26%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–017%
0–116%
1–014%
1–113%
0–28%
1–26%

From our goals model: Inverness CT 0.8 – 0.9 Raith Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRaith Rovers to win ✓42%2.412.90 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%1.991.75
Draw no betRaith Rovers (draw no bet) ✓54%1.85–
Asian handicapInverness CT +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓52%1.92–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74%1.34–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
First team to scoreRaith Rovers to score first ✓44%2.27–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗53%1.87–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗25%3.98–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗6%16.21–

Recent results

Inverness CT – last 6

LDLDDW
29 Aug@ Stenhousemuir1–3L
21 Augvs Partick1–1D
16 Aug@ Heart Of Midlothian2–6L
8 Aug@ Arbroath0–0D
1 Augvs Dunfermline0–0D
25 Jul@ Morton1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Raith Rovers – last 6

LWWDLW
28 Aug@ Dunfermline0–1L
22 Augvs Ayr Utd2–0W
8 Aug@ Queen's Park2–1W
1 Augvs Stenhousemuir1–1D
24 Julvs Heart Of Midlothian0–1L
21 Julvs Peterhead1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Raith Rovers v Inverness CT4–1
Inverness CT vs Raith Rovers head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Partick14842+1128
2Raith Rovers14743+1125
3Dunfermline14671+825
4Stenhousemuir14725023
5Livingston14635+721
6Inverness CT14554+120
7Ayr Utd13436-415
8Arbroath14428-1214
9Morton13418-713
10Queen's Park142111-157

More Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Inverness CT vs Raith Rovers?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Inverness CT vs Raith Rovers?

On our numbers Inverness CT have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Raith Rovers 42%.

How many goals will there be in Inverness CT vs Raith Rovers?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Inverness CT vs Raith Rovers?

Our predicted score is Inverness CT 1–1 Raith Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Inverness CT vs Raith Rovers?

Inverness CT vs Raith Rovers (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Tulloch Caledonian Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.