Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
NG
Value bet: Not both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPartick to win ✓63% · @1.57
Double chancePartick or draw ✓85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓25% · fair 4.06
Partick vs Ayr Utd: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Partick welcome Ayr Utd to Firhill Stadium for a Championship fixture on Saturday 5 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Partick are 1st, leading the league, on 28 points after 14 matches; Ayr Utd are 7th (lower half) with 15. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Partick, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Queen's Park, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Ayr Utd, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Morton, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Partick 1.3 xG, Ayr Utd 0.4 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 78% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Partick 63%, draw 21%, Ayr Utd 15%.
Lower-risk option: Partick or draw (85%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: NG (59%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Not both teams to score @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Partick to win (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Partick 1–0 Ayr Utd. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Partick63%fair 1.58 · @1.57
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.80
Ayr Utd15%fair 6.52 · @5.00
1.63Expected goals
1.26Partick xG
0.37Ayr Utd xG
41%Both score
22%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–025%
0–020%
2–015%
1–19%
0–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Partick 1.3 – 0.4 Ayr Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Partick to win✓
63%
1.58
1.57
Double chance
Partick or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
Partick (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Ayr Utd +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Partick to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Partick / FT Partick✓
35%
2.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
25%
4.06
–
Recent results
Partick – last 6
DDLWWD
29 Aug
vs Queen's Park
0–0
D
21 Aug
@ Inverness CT
1–1
D
16 Aug
@ Hibernian
0–1
L
7 Aug
vs Livingston
2–0
W
1 Aug
@ Morton
1–0
W
26 Jul
@ Clydebank
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Ayr Utd – last 6
DLLDWW
29 Aug
vs Morton
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Raith Rovers
0–2
L
14 Aug
@ Kilmarnock
2–3
L
8 Aug
@ Dunfermline
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Arbroath
2–0
W
25 Jul
vs Alloa Athletic
4–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Partick and Ayr Utd.
Our pick is Partick to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Partick vs Ayr Utd?
On our numbers Partick have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ayr Utd 15%.
How many goals will there be in Partick vs Ayr Utd?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 22% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Partick vs Ayr Utd?
Our predicted score is Partick 1–0 Ayr Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Partick vs Ayr Utd?
Partick vs Ayr Utd (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Firhill Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
