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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Livingston v Arbroath: numbers & prediction

Championship · Scotland · The Home of the Set Fare Arena
1–0
FT
Livingston 69%Draw 21%Arbroath 11% Expected goals 1.74 – 0.49
69%
Betarazi pick

Livingston to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.35Odds

Picks by market

ResultLivingston to win ✓69% · @1.35
Double chanceLivingston or draw ✓89% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓19% · fair 5.35

Livingston vs Arbroath: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Arbroath travel to face Livingston on Saturday 24 October in the Championship, with The Home of the Set Fare Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Livingston are 5th, upper half, on 21 points after 14 matches; Arbroath are 8th (in the drop zone) with 14.

Current form

Livingston, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Dunfermline, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Arbroath, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Inverness CT, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Livingston, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Arbroath.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Aug 2026) it ended Arbroath 1–0 Livingston.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Livingston 1.7 xG, Arbroath 0.5 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 47%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Livingston 69%, draw 21%, Arbroath 11%.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Livingston to win (69%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Livingston 1–0 Arbroath. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Livingston69%fair 1.46 · @1.35
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @4.60
Arbroath11%fair 9.35 · @8.00
2.23Expected goals
1.74Livingston xG
0.49Arbroath xG
47%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–019%
2–016%
0–011%
3–09%
1–19%
2–18%

From our goals model: Livingston 1.7 – 0.5 Arbroath expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLivingston to win ✓69%1.461.35
Double chanceLivingston or draw ✓89%1.121.08
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.891.75
Draw no betLivingston (draw no bet) ✓87%1.16–
Asian handicapLivingston -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗65%1.53–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
First team to scoreLivingston to score first ✓70%1.44–
Half-time resultLivingston ahead at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Livingston / FT Livingston ✗43%2.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓19%5.35–

Recent results

Livingston – last 6

DLLWDW
17 Oct@ Dunfermline0–0D
10 Octvs Partick1–2L
3 Octvs Ayr Utd1–2L
25 Sep@ Raith Rovers2–0W
19 Sepvs Inverness CT2–2D
11 Sep@ Morton4–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Arbroath – last 6

LLLWLL
17 Oct@ Inverness CT0–2L
10 Octvs Morton1–2L
3 Oct@ Partick0–3L
25 Sepvs Queen's Park2–1W
19 Sep@ Stenhousemuir0–1L
12 Sep@ Raith Rovers0–4L
0.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Aug 2026Arbroath v Livingston1–0
Livingston vs Arbroath head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Partick14842+1128
2Raith Rovers14743+1125
3Dunfermline14671+825
4Stenhousemuir14725023
5Livingston14635+721
6Inverness CT14554+120
7Ayr Utd13436-415
8Arbroath14428-1214
9Morton13418-713
10Queen's Park142111-157

More Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Livingston vs Arbroath?

Our pick is Livingston to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Livingston vs Arbroath?

On our numbers Livingston have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Arbroath 11%.

How many goals will there be in Livingston vs Arbroath?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Livingston vs Arbroath?

Our predicted score is Livingston 1–0 Arbroath, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Livingston vs Arbroath?

Livingston vs Arbroath (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Home of the Set Fare Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.