Morton vs Ayr Utd: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Morton welcome Ayr Utd to Cappielow Park for a Championship fixture on Saturday 24 October (15:00 WAT). In the table, Morton are 9th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 13 matches; Ayr Utd are 7th (lower half) with 15. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Morton, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Queen's Park, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Ayr Utd, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Partick, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Aug 2026) it ended Ayr Utd 1–1 Morton.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Morton 1.0 xG, Ayr Utd 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Morton 32%, draw 23%, Ayr Utd 44%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Morton 1–1 Ayr Utd. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Morton32%fair 3.08 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.10
Ayr Utd44%fair 2.25 · @2.20
2.23Expected goals
0.99Morton xG
1.24Ayr Utd xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–113%
0–011%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Morton 1.0 – 1.2 Ayr Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Morton vs Ayr Utd?
On our numbers Morton have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ayr Utd 44%.
How many goals will there be in Morton vs Ayr Utd?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Morton vs Ayr Utd?
Our predicted score is Morton 1–1 Ayr Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Morton vs Ayr Utd?
Morton vs Ayr Utd (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Cappielow Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
