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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Partick v Stenhousemuir: numbers & prediction

Championship · Scotland · Firhill Stadium

Partick

DWWWD
3–0
FT
Partick 67%Draw 22%Stenhousemuir 11% Expected goals 1.33 – 0.29
67%
Betarazi pick

Partick to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultPartick to win ✓67% · @1.44
Double chancePartick or draw ✓89% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗26% · fair 3.79

Partick vs Stenhousemuir: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Stenhousemuir travel to face Partick on Saturday 24 October in the Championship, with Firhill Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Partick are 1st, leading the league, on 28 points after 14 matches; Stenhousemuir are 4th (among the top four) with 23.

Current form

Partick, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dunfermline, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Stenhousemuir, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Raith Rovers, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Sep 2026) it ended Stenhousemuir 1–0 Partick. The last 2 head-to-heads: Partick 0 wins, Stenhousemuir 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Partick 1.3 xG, Stenhousemuir 0.3 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 78% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Partick 67%, draw 22%, Stenhousemuir 11%.
  • GG/NG: NG (57%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Partick to win (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Partick 1–0 Stenhousemuir. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Partick67%fair 1.49 · @1.44
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @4.00
Stenhousemuir11%fair 9.34 · @6.50
1.62Expected goals
1.33Partick xG
0.29Stenhousemuir xG
43%Both score
22%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–026%
0–020%
2–018%
3–08%
1–18%
0–16%

From our goals model: Partick 1.3 – 0.3 Stenhousemuir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPartick to win ✓67%1.491.44
Double chancePartick or draw ✓89%1.121.10
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓57%1.741.75
Draw no betPartick (draw no bet) ✓86%1.16–
Asian handicapPartick -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗52%1.93–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗78%1.29–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓98%1.03–
First team to scorePartick to score first ✓66%1.51–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗53%1.90–
Half-time / full-timeHT Partick / FT Partick ✓38%2.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗26%3.79–

Recent results

Partick – last 6

DWWWDL
20 Oct@ Dunfermline1–1D
16 Oct@ Ayr Utd1–0W
10 Oct@ Livingston2–1W
3 Octvs Arbroath3–0W
19 Sepvs Raith Rovers0–0D
15 Sep@ Stenhousemuir0–1L
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Stenhousemuir – last 6

DLWWWL
17 Octvs Raith Rovers1–1D
10 Oct@ Inverness CT0–2L
25 Sep@ Ayr Utd1–0W
19 Sepvs Arbroath1–0W
15 Sepvs Partick1–0W
11 Sepvs Heart Of Midlothian0–3L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Sep 2026Stenhousemuir v Partick1–0
21 Jul 2026Partick v Stenhousemuir2–2
Partick vs Stenhousemuir head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Partick14842+1128
2Raith Rovers14743+1125
3Dunfermline14671+825
4Stenhousemuir14725023
5Livingston14635+721
6Inverness CT14554+120
7Ayr Utd13436-415
8Arbroath14428-1214
9Morton13418-713
10Queen's Park142111-157

More Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Partick vs Stenhousemuir?

Our pick is Partick to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Partick vs Stenhousemuir?

On our numbers Partick have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Stenhousemuir 11%.

How many goals will there be in Partick vs Stenhousemuir?

We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 22% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Partick vs Stenhousemuir?

Our predicted score is Partick 1–0 Stenhousemuir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.

When is Partick vs Stenhousemuir?

Partick vs Stenhousemuir (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Firhill Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.