Alloa Athletic vs East Fife: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alloa Athletic welcome East Fife to Recreation Park for a League One fixture on Saturday 1 August (15:00 WAT). In the table, Alloa Athletic are 9th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 14 matches; East Fife are 6th (lower half) with 15. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Alloa Athletic, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Ayr Utd, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
East Fife, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with ST Johnstone, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours East Fife, collecting 1.6 points per game to 0.8 for Alloa Athletic.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alloa Athletic 1.4 xG, East Fife 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alloa Athletic 50%, draw 26%, East Fife 25%.
Lower-risk option: Alloa Athletic or draw (75%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alloa Athletic 1–1 East Fife. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alloa Athletic50%fair 2.02 · @1.91
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.35
East Fife25%fair 4.06 · @3.50
2.43Expected goals
1.41Alloa Athletic xG
1.01East Fife xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–09%
2–09%
From our goals model: Alloa Athletic 1.4 – 1.0 East Fife expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Alloa Athletic
East Fife
Attack vs League One average
-19%
-27%
Goals conceded vs average
+6%
-8%
Our expected goals here
1.22
1.02
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alloa Athletic to win✗
50%
2.02
1.91
Double chance
Alloa Athletic or draw✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.70
Draw no bet
Alloa Athletic (draw no bet)
67%
1.50
–
Asian handicap
East Fife +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Alloa Athletic to score first✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alloa Athletic / FT Alloa Athletic✗
27%
3.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.19
–
Recent results
Alloa Athletic – last 6
LDDLLW
25 Jul
@ Ayr Utd
1–4
L
21 Jul
vs Falkirk
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Stranraer
2–2
D
14 Jul
@ Edinburgh City
0–2
L
30 Jun
vs Livingston
0–3
L
23 Jun
vs Civil Service Strollers
5–0
W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
East Fife – last 5
DWWDL
25 Jul
@ ST Johnstone
1–1
D
21 Jul
vs Linlithgow Rose
3–1
W
14 Jul
vs Morton
2–0
W
11 Jul
@ Inverness CT
1–1
D
17 Feb
@ Hamilton Academical
0–1
L
1.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alloa Athletic and East Fife.
What is the prediction for Alloa Athletic vs East Fife?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Alloa Athletic vs East Fife?
On our numbers Alloa Athletic have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 26% and East Fife 25%.
How many goals will there be in Alloa Athletic vs East Fife?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alloa Athletic vs East Fife?
Our predicted score is Alloa Athletic 1–1 East Fife, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Alloa Athletic vs East Fife?
Alloa Athletic vs East Fife (League One) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Recreation Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
