Montrose vs Hamilton Academical: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 1 August: Montrose v Hamilton Academical in the League One, played at Links Park. In the table, Montrose are 4th, among the top four, on 20 points after 14 matches; Hamilton Academical are 2nd (among the top four) with 33. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Montrose, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Spartans, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Hamilton Academical, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Elgin City, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Montrose 1.2 xG, Hamilton Academical 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Montrose 27%, draw 24%, Hamilton Academical 49%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Montrose 1–1 Hamilton Academical. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Montrose27%fair 3.73 · @3.00
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.55
Hamilton Academical49%fair 2.04 · @2.05
2.82Expected goals
1.17Montrose xG
1.65Hamilton Academical xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Montrose 1.2 – 1.6 Hamilton Academical expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Montrose
Hamilton Academical
Attack vs League One average
-1%
+14%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
-27%
Our expected goals here
1.17
1.61
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hamilton Academical to win✓
49%
2.04
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.57
Draw no bet
Hamilton Academical (draw no bet)✓
65%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Montrose +1 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.18
–
First team to score
Hamilton Academical to score first✓
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hamilton Academical / FT Hamilton Academical✓
29%
3.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.54
–
Recent results
Montrose – last 6
LWWWWL
25 Jul
vs Spartans
0–2
L
21 Jul
@ Arbroath
2–0
W
18 Jul
@ Stirling Albion
2–0
W
14 Jul
vs Dundee Utd
1–0
W
8 Jul
vs Inverurie Loco Works
7–0
W
4 Jul
vs ST Johnstone
0–3
L
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Hamilton Academical – last 6
WLDWWD
25 Jul
vs Elgin City
5–0
W
21 Jul
@ Kilmarnock
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs Raith Rovers
1–1
D
11 Jul
@ Peterhead
1–0
W
4 Jul
@ Haverfordwest County AFC
4–0
W
27 Jun
@ Raith Rovers
2–2
D
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Montrose and Hamilton Academical.
What is the prediction for Montrose vs Hamilton Academical?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Montrose vs Hamilton Academical?
On our numbers Montrose have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Hamilton Academical 49%.
How many goals will there be in Montrose vs Hamilton Academical?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montrose vs Hamilton Academical?
Our predicted score is Montrose 1–1 Hamilton Academical, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Montrose vs Hamilton Academical?
Montrose vs Hamilton Academical (League One) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Links Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
