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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

East Kilbride v Queen of the South: numbers & prediction

League One · Scotland · K-Park Training Academy
5–1
FT
East Kilbride 69%Draw 19%Queen of the South 12% Expected goals 2.52 – 0.96
82%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultEast Kilbride to win ✓69% · @1.44
Double chanceEast Kilbride or draw ✓88% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.64

East Kilbride vs Queen of the South: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 1 August the League One brings East Kilbride against Queen of the South at K-Park Training Academy. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, East Kilbride are 3rd, among the top four, on 21 points after 13 matches; Queen of the South are 8th (in the drop zone) with 13.

Current form

East Kilbride, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to ST Mirren, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 3.3 goals per game.

Queen of the South, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Queen's Park, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours East Kilbride, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Queen of the South.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give East Kilbride 2.5 xG, Queen of the South 1.0 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – East Kilbride 69%, draw 19%, Queen of the South 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: East Kilbride 2–0 Queen of the South. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

East Kilbride69%fair 1.44 · @1.44
Draw19%fair 5.35 · @4.10
Queen of the South12%fair 8.36 · @6.25
3.48Expected goals
2.52East Kilbride xG
0.96Queen of the South xG
61%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
2–19%
3–08%
3–18%
1–08%
1–17%

From our goals model: East Kilbride 2.5 – 1.0 Queen of the South expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

East KilbrideQueen of the South
Attack vs League One average+11%-17%
Goals conceded vs average-6%+56%
Our expected goals here2.821.02

Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEast Kilbride to win ✓69%1.441.44
Double chanceEast Kilbride or draw ✓88%1.141.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.641.70
Draw no betEast Kilbride (draw no bet) ✓85%1.17–
Asian handicapEast Kilbride -1 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.221.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.601.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗58%1.711.48
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗73%1.37–
First team to scoreEast Kilbride to score first70%1.43–
Half-time resultEast Kilbride ahead at half-time ✓53%1.89–
Half-time / full-timeHT East Kilbride / FT East Kilbride ✓48%2.08–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.64–

Recent results

East Kilbride – last 6

LWLWWW
21 Jul@ ST Mirren3–4L
18 Julvs Dumbarton5–3W
14 Jul@ Cove Rangers2–3L
11 Julvs Dunfermline3–0W
27 Junvs Kelty Hearts4–0W
21 Febvs Dumbarton3–1W
3.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Queen of the South – last 6

LLWDLL
25 Jul@ Queen's Park1–3L
22 Julvs Aberdeen1–4L
18 Jul@ Brora Rangers3–0W
11 Julvs Kelty Hearts1–1D
4 Julvs Crusaders FC1–2L
27 Junvs GAP Connah S Quay FC0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between East Kilbride and Queen of the South.

East Kilbride vs Queen of the South head-to-head page →

League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ross County141220+4038
2Hamilton Academical141031+1733
3East Kilbride13634+521
4Montrose14626-420
5Airdrie United14446-916
6East Fife14365-415
7Peterhead14419-1313
8Queen of the South14419-2413
9Alloa Athletic14338-412
10Cove Rangers13337-412

More League One predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for East Kilbride vs Queen of the South?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win East Kilbride vs Queen of the South?

On our numbers East Kilbride have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Queen of the South 12%.

How many goals will there be in East Kilbride vs Queen of the South?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for East Kilbride vs Queen of the South?

Our predicted score is East Kilbride 2–0 Queen of the South, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is East Kilbride vs Queen of the South?

East Kilbride vs Queen of the South (League One) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at K-Park Training Academy.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.