Newcastle 62%Draw 22%Hull City 16%Expected goals 1.90 – 0.85
62%
Betarazi pick
Newcastle to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultNewcastle to win ✓62% · @1.60
Double chanceNewcastle or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.19
Newcastle vs Hull City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Newcastle v Hull City in the Premier League, played at St James' Park. In the table, Newcastle are 12th, lower half, on 12 points after 10 matches; Hull City are 13th (lower half) with 11. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Newcastle, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Leeds, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Hull City, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Chelsea, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newcastle 1.9 xG, Hull City 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newcastle 62%, draw 22%, Hull City 16%.
Lower-risk option: Newcastle or draw (84%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Newcastle to win (62%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newcastle 1–0 Hull City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newcastle62%fair 1.62 · @1.60
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @4.20
Hull City16%fair 6.19 · @5.00
2.75Expected goals
1.90Newcastle xG
0.85Hull City xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Newcastle 1.9 – 0.9 Hull City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newcastle to win✓
62%
1.62
1.60
Double chance
Newcastle or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.67
Draw no bet
Newcastle (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Newcastle -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Newcastle to score first✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Newcastle ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newcastle / FT Newcastle✓
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.19
–
Recent results
Newcastle – last 6
LWDWWD
14 Sep
@ Leeds
1–4
L
8 Sep
@ Millwall
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Bournemouth
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Tottenham
2–0
W
26 Aug
vs West Brom
3–2
W
23 Aug
vs Liverpool
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Hull City – last 6
DLDWDW
12 Sep
@ Chelsea
2–2
D
8 Sep
@ Sunderland
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Aston Villa
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Coventry
1–0
W
25 Aug
@ Stoke City
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Manchester United
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newcastle and Hull City.
What is the prediction for Newcastle vs Hull City?
Our pick is Newcastle to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Newcastle vs Hull City?
On our numbers Newcastle have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hull City 16%.
How many goals will there be in Newcastle vs Hull City?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle vs Hull City?
Our predicted score is Newcastle 1–0 Hull City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Newcastle vs Hull City?
Newcastle vs Hull City (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at St James' Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
