Tottenham v Aston Villa Prediction & Expected Goals (19 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultTottenham to win ✗45% · @2.00

Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.62

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗6% · fair 17.14

Tottenham vs Aston Villa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:30 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Tottenham v Aston Villa in the Premier League, played at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. In the table, Tottenham are 11th, lower half, on 12 points after 10 matches; Aston Villa are 10th (upper half) with 13. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Tottenham, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Liverpool, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Aston Villa, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Coventry, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tottenham 0.9 xG, Aston Villa 0.7 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 78%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Tottenham 45%, draw 21%, Aston Villa 34%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Aston Villa to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tottenham 1–1 Aston Villa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tottenham45%fair 2.24 · @2.00

Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.50

Aston Villa34%fair 2.94 · @3.50

1.63Expected goals

0.91Tottenham xG

0.72Aston Villa xG

52%Both score

22%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–020%

1–018%

0–114%

1–113%

2–08%

2–16%

From our goals model: Tottenham 0.9 – 0.7 Aston Villa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Tottenham to win ✗	45%	2.24	2.00
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	79%	1.27	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	52%	1.91	1.62
Draw no bet	Tottenham (draw no bet) ✗	57%	1.76	–
Asian handicap	Aston Villa +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	62%	1.61	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Under 1.5 goals ✗	52%	1.94	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	78%	1.29	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	92%	1.09	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	97%	1.03	–
First team to score	Tottenham to score first ✗	45%	2.23	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	55%	1.81	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Draw / FT Draw ✗	27%	3.71	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	6%	17.14	–

Tottenham – last 6

LDDLWL

15 Sep	@ Liverpool	1–3	L
12 Sep	vs Everton	0–0	D
5 Sep	@ Nottingham Forest	0–0	D
29 Aug	vs Newcastle	0–2	L
26 Aug	vs Charlton	5–1	W
22 Aug	@ Brentford	0–3	L

1.0Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Aston Villa – last 6

WLWDLL

16 Sep	@ Coventry	3–1	W
12 Sep	vs Nottingham Forest	1–2	L
8 Sep	@ Club Brugge KV	3–2	W
5 Sep	@ Hull City	0–0	D
31 Aug	vs Arsenal	0–1	L
23 Aug	@ Brighton	0–4	L

1.2Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	10	9	0	1	+10	27
2	Brighton	10	7	1	2	+19	22
3	Manchester City	10	7	0	3	+8	21
4	Liverpool	10	5	3	2	+4	18
5	Chelsea	10	5	1	4	+3	16
6	Everton	10	4	4	2	+2	16
7	Bournemouth	10	4	3	3	+2	15
8	Brentford	10	3	5	2	+5	14
9	Leeds	10	3	5	2	+2	14
10	Aston Villa	10	3	4	3	-3	13
11	Tottenham	10	3	3	4	-1	12
12	Newcastle	10	3	3	4	-3	12
13	Hull City	10	2	5	3	0	11
14	Ipswich	10	3	2	5	-5	11
15	Fulham	10	2	4	4	-2	10
16	Nottingham Forest	10	2	3	5	-4	9
17	Coventry	10	3	0	7	-9	9
18	Manchester United	10	1	5	4	-5	8
19	Sunderland	10	2	2	6	-9	8
20	Crystal Palace	10	2	1	7	-14	7

Team

Pts

+10

+19

-3

-1

-3

-5

-2

-4

-9

-5

-9

-14

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tottenham vs Aston Villa?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Tottenham vs Aston Villa?

On our numbers Tottenham have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Aston Villa 34%.

How many goals will there be in Tottenham vs Aston Villa?

We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 22% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tottenham vs Aston Villa?

Our predicted score is Tottenham 1–1 Aston Villa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.

When is Tottenham vs Aston Villa?

Tottenham vs Aston Villa (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Tottenham v Aston Villa: numbers & prediction