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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Nottingham Forest v Coventry: numbers & prediction

Premier League · England · City Ground
0–1
FT
Nottingham Forest 59%Draw 25%Coventry 16% Expected goals 1.57 – 0.68
59%
Betarazi pick

Nottingham Forest to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultNottingham Forest to win ✗59% · @1.65
Double chanceNottingham Forest or draw ✗84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.32

Nottingham Forest vs Coventry: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 19 September the Premier League brings Nottingham Forest against Coventry at City Ground. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT. In the table, Nottingham Forest are 16th, lower half, on 9 points after 10 matches; Coventry are 17th (lower half) with 9. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Nottingham Forest, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Aston Villa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Coventry, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Aston Villa, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Nottingham Forest, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Coventry.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nottingham Forest 1.6 xG, Coventry 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nottingham Forest 59%, draw 25%, Coventry 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: Nottingham Forest or draw (84%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Nottingham Forest to win (59%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nottingham Forest 1–0 Coventry. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nottingham Forest59%fair 1.69 · @1.65
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.80
Coventry16%fair 6.20 · @5.00
2.25Expected goals
1.57Nottingham Forest xG
0.68Coventry xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–17%

From our goals model: Nottingham Forest 1.6 – 0.7 Coventry expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNottingham Forest to win ✗59%1.691.65
Double chanceNottingham Forest or draw ✗84%1.191.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.831.75
Draw no betNottingham Forest (draw no bet) ✗79%1.27–
Asian handicapCoventry +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
First team to scoreNottingham Forest to score first ✗62%1.60–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nottingham Forest / FT Nottingham Forest ✗36%2.78–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.32–

Recent results

Nottingham Forest – last 6

WDDLLW
12 Sep@ Aston Villa2–1W
5 Sepvs Tottenham0–0D
29 Aug@ Liverpool2–2D
25 Augvs Leeds0–2L
22 Augvs Leeds0–1L
16 Augvs Stade Brestois 292–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Coventry – last 6

LLLLWL
16 Sepvs Aston Villa1–3L
13 Sepvs Brighton0–5L
5 Sep@ Manchester City0–1L
29 Augvs Hull City0–1L
25 Aug@ Plymouth4–2W
21 Aug@ Arsenal0–3L
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Nottingham Forest and Coventry.

Nottingham Forest vs Coventry head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal10901+1027
2Brighton10712+1922
3Manchester City10703+821
4Liverpool10532+418
5Chelsea10514+316
6Everton10442+216
7Bournemouth10433+215
8Brentford10352+514
9Leeds10352+214
10Aston Villa10343-313
11Tottenham10334-112
12Newcastle10334-312
13Hull City10253011
14Ipswich10325-511
15Fulham10244-210
16Nottingham Forest10235-49
17Coventry10307-99
18Manchester United10154-58
19Sunderland10226-98
20Crystal Palace10217-147

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nottingham Forest vs Coventry?

Our pick is Nottingham Forest to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Coventry?

On our numbers Nottingham Forest have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Coventry 16%.

How many goals will there be in Nottingham Forest vs Coventry?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Coventry?

Our predicted score is Nottingham Forest 1–0 Coventry, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Nottingham Forest vs Coventry?

Nottingham Forest vs Coventry (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at City Ground.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.