Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
2
Value bet: Sunderland to win @ 3.40 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBournemouth to win ✓44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.18
Bournemouth vs Sunderland: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bournemouth welcome Sunderland to Vitality Stadium for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 18 October (14:00 WAT). In the table, Bournemouth are 7th, upper half, on 15 points after 10 matches; Sunderland are 19th (in the drop zone) with 8.
Current form
Bournemouth, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Sturm Graz, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Sunderland, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Torreense, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Feb 2026) it ended Bournemouth 1–1 Sunderland.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bournemouth 1.7 xG, Sunderland 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bournemouth 44%, draw 22%, Sunderland 34%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Sunderland to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bournemouth 1–1 Sunderland. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bournemouth44%fair 2.28 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.30
Sunderland34%fair 2.97 · @3.40
3.17Expected goals
1.70Bournemouth xG
1.47Sunderland xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Bournemouth 1.7 – 1.5 Sunderland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
On our numbers Bournemouth have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sunderland 34%.
How many goals will there be in Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
Our predicted score is Bournemouth 1–1 Sunderland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
Bournemouth vs Sunderland (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Vitality Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
