Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultArsenal to win ✓65% · @1.62
Double chanceArsenal or draw ✓90% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓17% · fair 5.85
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:30 WAT, Sunday 18 October: Nottingham Forest v Arsenal in the Premier League, played at City Ground. In the table, Nottingham Forest are 16th, lower half, on 9 points after 10 matches; Arsenal are 1st (leading the league) with 27. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Nottingham Forest, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Crystal Palace, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Arsenal, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Lille, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Arsenal, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.8 for Nottingham Forest.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nottingham Forest 0.6 xG, Arsenal 1.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 44%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nottingham Forest 10%, draw 25%, Arsenal 65%.
Lower-risk option: Arsenal or draw (90%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Arsenal to win (65%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.54, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nottingham Forest 0–1 Arsenal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nottingham Forest10%fair 9.66 · @5.50
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.60
Arsenal65%fair 1.54 · @1.62
2.33Expected goals
0.57Nottingham Forest xG
1.76Arsenal xG
44%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–117%
0–215%
1–110%
0–010%
0–39%
1–29%
From our goals model: Nottingham Forest 0.6 – 1.8 Arsenal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arsenal to win✓
65%
1.54
1.62 ▲
Double chance
Arsenal or draw✓
90%
1.12
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.85
Draw no bet
Arsenal (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Arsenal -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Arsenal to score first✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Arsenal ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arsenal / FT Arsenal✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
17%
5.85
–
Recent results
Nottingham Forest – last 6
LLWDDL
11 Oct
@ Crystal Palace
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Coventry
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ Aston Villa
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Tottenham
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Liverpool
2–2
D
25 Aug
vs Leeds
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Arsenal – last 6
WWLWWW
13 Oct
vs Lille
3–0
W
10 Oct
vs Leeds
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Brighton
0–3
L
15 Sep
@ Ipswich
4–2
W
12 Sep
@ Sunderland
2–0
W
9 Sep
@ Napoli
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nottingham Forest and Arsenal.
What is the prediction for Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?
Our pick is Arsenal to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?
On our numbers Nottingham Forest have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Arsenal 65%.
How many goals will there be in Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?
Our predicted score is Nottingham Forest 0–1 Arsenal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at City Ground.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
