Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultBrighton to win ✓65% · @1.50
Double chanceBrighton or draw ✓85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.73
Brighton vs Crystal Palace: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 18 October the Premier League brings Brighton against Crystal Palace at American Express Stadium. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Brighton are 2nd, among the top four, on 22 points after 10 matches; Crystal Palace are 20th (in the drop zone) with 7. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Brighton, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Kauno Žalgiris, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Crystal Palace, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Lyon, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Brighton, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.2 for Crystal Palace.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Brighton 2.5 xG, Crystal Palace 1.2 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Brighton 65%, draw 20%, Crystal Palace 15%.
Lower-risk option: Brighton or draw (85%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Brighton 2–1 Crystal Palace. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Brighton65%fair 1.55 · @1.50
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @4.33
Crystal Palace15%fair 6.54 · @5.50
3.67Expected goals
2.49Brighton xG
1.18Crystal Palace xG
63%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
1–17%
3–07%
1–06%
From our goals model: Brighton 2.5 – 1.2 Crystal Palace expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brighton to win✓
65%
1.55
1.50
Double chance
Brighton or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.62
Draw no bet
Brighton (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Brighton -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
–
First team to score
Brighton to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Brighton ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brighton / FT Brighton✓
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.73
–
Recent results
Brighton – last 6
WWWWWD
15 Oct
vs Kauno Žalgiris
4–0
W
10 Oct
@ Sunderland
2–0
W
19 Sep
vs Arsenal
3–0
W
16 Sep
@ Manchester United
3–2
W
13 Sep
@ Coventry
5–0
W
5 Sep
vs Leeds
1–1
D
3.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Crystal Palace – last 6
LWLDWL
15 Oct
@ Lyon
2–3
L
11 Oct
vs Nottingham Forest
3–1
W
3 Oct
vs Bristol City
0–2
L
20 Sep
@ Leeds
0–0
D
17 Sep
vs Lech Poznan
4–0
W
12 Sep
vs Ipswich
2–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brighton and Crystal Palace.
What is the prediction for Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
On our numbers Brighton have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Crystal Palace 15%.
How many goals will there be in Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
Our predicted score is Brighton 2–1 Crystal Palace, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
Brighton vs Crystal Palace (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at American Express Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
