Liverpool 41%Draw 21%Brighton 38%Expected goals 1.64 – 1.57
67%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Brighton to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLiverpool to win ✓41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.77
Liverpool vs Brighton: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Liverpool welcome Brighton to Anfield for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 25 October (15:00 WAT). In the table, Liverpool are 4th, among the top four, on 18 points after 10 matches; Brighton are 2nd (among the top four) with 22.
Current form
Liverpool, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Villarreal, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Brighton, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with FK Jablonec, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Liverpool 1.6 xG, Brighton 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Liverpool 41%, draw 21%, Brighton 38%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Brighton to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Liverpool 1–1 Brighton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Liverpool41%fair 2.44 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.70
Brighton38%fair 2.61 · @3.10
3.21Expected goals
1.64Liverpool xG
1.57Brighton xG
67%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Liverpool 1.6 – 1.6 Brighton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Liverpool to win✓
41%
2.44
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.48
1.44
Draw no bet
Liverpool (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Brighton +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Liverpool to score first✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Liverpool / FT Liverpool✓
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.77
–
Recent results
Liverpool – last 6
WWWLWW
20 Oct
vs Villarreal
4–3
W
17 Oct
@ Brentford
2–1
W
14 Oct
@ Lask Linz
6–3
W
11 Oct
vs Manchester City
0–3
L
20 Sep
@ Bournemouth
1–0
W
15 Sep
vs Tottenham
3–1
W
2.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Brighton – last 6
DWWWWW
22 Oct
@ FK Jablonec
0–0
D
18 Oct
vs Crystal Palace
5–0
W
15 Oct
vs Kauno Žalgiris
4–0
W
10 Oct
@ Sunderland
2–0
W
19 Sep
vs Arsenal
3–0
W
16 Sep
@ Manchester United
3–2
W
2.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Liverpool and Brighton.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Liverpool vs Brighton?
On our numbers Liverpool have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Brighton 38%.
How many goals will there be in Liverpool vs Brighton?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Brighton?
Our predicted score is Liverpool 1–1 Brighton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Liverpool vs Brighton?
Liverpool vs Brighton (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Anfield.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
