Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
2
Value bet: Leeds to win @ 2.45 – our chance 46% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLeeds to win ✗46% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.20
Sunderland vs Leeds: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sunderland welcome Leeds to Stadium of Light for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 25 October (17:30 WAT). In the table, Sunderland are 19th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 10 matches; Leeds are 9th (upper half) with 14.
Current form
Sunderland, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Lech Poznan, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Leeds, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Manchester United, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (31 Jul 2026) it ended Sunderland 0–1 Leeds. The last 2 head-to-heads: Sunderland 1 win, Leeds 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sunderland 1.1 xG, Leeds 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sunderland 30%, draw 23%, Leeds 46%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Leeds to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.71, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sunderland 1–1 Leeds. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sunderland30%fair 3.29 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.10
Leeds46%fair 2.16 · @2.45
2.50Expected goals
1.08Sunderland xG
1.42Leeds xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Sunderland 1.1 – 1.4 Leeds expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Sunderland vs Leeds?
On our numbers Sunderland have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Leeds 46%.
How many goals will there be in Sunderland vs Leeds?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Leeds?
Our predicted score is Sunderland 1–1 Leeds, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sunderland vs Leeds?
Sunderland vs Leeds (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadium of Light.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
