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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Manchester United v Bournemouth: numbers & prediction

Premier League · England · Old Trafford
0–3
FT
Manchester United 45%Draw 21%Bournemouth 34% Expected goals 1.62 – 1.38
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultManchester United to win ✗45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.07

Manchester United vs Bournemouth: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Bournemouth travel to face Manchester United on Sunday 25 October in the Premier League, with Old Trafford the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Manchester United are 18th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 10 matches; Bournemouth are 7th (upper half) with 15.

Current form

Manchester United, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Como, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Bournemouth, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over AC Milan, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Bournemouth, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Manchester United.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Mar 2026) it ended Bournemouth 2–2 Manchester United.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Manchester United 1.6 xG, Bournemouth 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Manchester United 45%, draw 21%, Bournemouth 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Manchester United 1–1 Bournemouth. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Manchester United45%fair 2.23 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.50
Bournemouth34%fair 2.95 · @3.10
3.00Expected goals
1.62Manchester United xG
1.38Bournemouth xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%

From our goals model: Manchester United 1.6 – 1.4 Bournemouth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultManchester United to win ✗45%2.232.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.641.55
Draw no betManchester United (draw no bet) ✗57%1.76–
Asian handicapBournemouth +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
First team to scoreManchester United to score first ✗51%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.53–
Half-time / full-timeHT Manchester United / FT Manchester United ✗26%3.85–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.07–

Recent results

Manchester United – last 6

LDLDDL
21 Oct@ Como1–4L
18 Oct@ Leeds1–1D
13 Oct@ Atletico Madrid0–2L
10 Octvs Tottenham1–1D
20 Sep@ Fulham1–1D
16 Sepvs Brighton2–3L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Bournemouth – last 6

WWWLLW
22 Octvs AC Milan3–0W
18 Octvs Sunderland2–0W
15 Octvs Sturm Graz3–0W
10 Oct@ Chelsea1–5L
20 Sepvs Liverpool0–1L
17 Sep@ Real Sociedad2–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Mar 2026Bournemouth v Manchester United2–2
Manchester United vs Bournemouth head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal10901+1027
2Brighton10712+1922
3Manchester City10703+821
4Liverpool10532+418
5Chelsea10514+316
6Everton10442+216
7Bournemouth10433+215
8Brentford10352+514
9Leeds10352+214
10Aston Villa10343-313
11Tottenham10334-112
12Newcastle10334-312
13Hull City10253011
14Ipswich10325-511
15Fulham10244-210
16Nottingham Forest10235-49
17Coventry10307-99
18Manchester United10154-58
19Sunderland10226-98
20Crystal Palace10217-147

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Manchester United vs Bournemouth?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Manchester United vs Bournemouth?

On our numbers Manchester United have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bournemouth 34%.

How many goals will there be in Manchester United vs Bournemouth?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Manchester United vs Bournemouth?

Our predicted score is Manchester United 1–1 Bournemouth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Manchester United vs Bournemouth?

Manchester United vs Bournemouth (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Old Trafford.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.