Puszcza Niepołomice v Polonia Warszawa Prediction & Expected Goals (26 Jul) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultPuszcza Niepołomice to win ✗39% · @2.35

Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.70

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.25

Puszcza Niepołomice vs Polonia Warszawa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Puszcza Niepołomice welcome Polonia Warszawa for a I Liga fixture on Sunday 26 July (18:30 WAT). In the table, Puszcza Niepołomice are 16th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 14 matches; Polonia Warszawa are 1st (leading the league) with 25.

Current form

Puszcza Niepołomice, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Jarosław, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Polonia Warszawa, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Zawisza Bydgoszcz, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Puszcza Niepołomice, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Polonia Warszawa.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended Puszcza Niepołomice 2–1 Polonia Warszawa.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Puszcza Niepołomice 1.3 xG, Polonia Warszawa 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Puszcza Niepołomice 39%, draw 25%, Polonia Warszawa 36%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Puszcza Niepołomice 1–1 Polonia Warszawa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Puszcza Niepołomice39%fair 2.57 · @2.35

Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.30

Polonia Warszawa36%fair 2.80 · @2.70

2.66Expected goals

1.32Puszcza Niepołomice xG

1.34Polonia Warszawa xG

57%Both score

49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

0–19%

1–09%

1–28%

2–18%

0–07%

From our goals model: Puszcza Niepołomice 1.3 – 1.3 Polonia Warszawa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Puszcza Niepołomice to win ✗	39%	2.57	2.35
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	75%	1.34	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	57%	1.77	1.70
Draw no bet	Puszcza Niepołomice (draw no bet) ✗	52%	1.92	–
Asian handicap	Puszcza Niepołomice +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	63%	1.60	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	73%	1.37	1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	51%	1.96	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	72%	1.38	1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	87%	1.15	–
First team to score	Polonia Warszawa to score first ✓	47%	2.13	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	43%	2.35	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Polonia Warszawa / FT Polonia Warszawa ✗	22%	4.62	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	12.25	–

Puszcza Niepołomice – last 6

WLWLLW

23 Jul	vs Jarosław	2–1	W
19 Jul	@ Widzew Łódź	0–2	L
11 Jul	@ Stal Mielec	4–1	W
4 Jul	@ Raków Częstochowa	0–2	L
1 Jul	@ Wisla Krakow	0–4	L
27 Jun	vs Star Starachowice	3–0	W

1.5Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Polonia Warszawa – last 6

WLLWLL

18 Jul	vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz	3–2	W
15 Jul	vs Zlin	0–2	L
11 Jul	@ Motor Lublin	1–2	L
11 Jul	@ Pelikan Łowicz	1–0	W
4 Jul	@ Wisla Plock	0–3	L
27 Jun	@ Znicz Pruszków	2–3	L

1.2Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Polonia Warszawa	14	7	4	3	+8	25
2	ŁKS Łódź	14	7	4	3	+5	25
3	Polonia Bytom	14	6	6	2	+4	24
4	Lechia Gdansk	14	7	1	6	+3	22
5	Ruch Chorzów	14	6	4	4	+3	22
6	Nieciecza	14	6	4	4	+2	22
7	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	14	6	3	5	+6	21
8	Miedz Legnica	14	5	5	4	+7	20
9	Warta Poznań	14	6	1	7	0	19
10	Pogoń Siedlce	14	5	4	5	0	19
11	Stal Mielec	14	5	4	5	-8	19
12	Arka Gdynia	14	5	3	6	+2	18
13	Stal Rzeszów	14	5	3	6	-7	18
14	Chrobry Głogów	14	3	6	5	-2	15
15	Podbeskidzie	14	2	9	3	-3	15
16	Puszcza Niepołomice	14	4	2	8	-4	14
17	Unia Skierniewice	14	4	2	8	-6	14
18	Odra Opole	14	3	3	8	-10	12

Team

Pts

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

-8

-7

-2

-3

-4

-6

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Puszcza Niepołomice vs Polonia Warszawa?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Puszcza Niepołomice vs Polonia Warszawa?

On our numbers Puszcza Niepołomice have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Polonia Warszawa 36%.

How many goals will there be in Puszcza Niepołomice vs Polonia Warszawa?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Puszcza Niepołomice vs Polonia Warszawa?

Our predicted score is Puszcza Niepołomice 1–1 Polonia Warszawa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Puszcza Niepołomice vs Polonia Warszawa?

Puszcza Niepołomice vs Polonia Warszawa (I Liga) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Puszcza Niepołomice v Polonia Warszawa: numbers & prediction