Nieciecza vs Ruch Chorzów: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ruch Chorzów travel to face Nieciecza on Sunday 26 July in the I Liga, with Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza the venue – the ball rolls at 13:30 WAT. In the table, Nieciecza are 6th, upper half, on 22 points after 14 matches; Ruch Chorzów are 5th (upper half) with 22. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Nieciecza, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–6 defeat to Busko-Zdroj, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Ruch Chorzów, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Karviná, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 3 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Nieciecza, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Ruch Chorzów.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nieciecza 1.6 xG, Ruch Chorzów 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nieciecza 44%, draw 24%, Ruch Chorzów 32%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nieciecza 1–1 Ruch Chorzów. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nieciecza44%fair 2.29 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.50
Ruch Chorzów32%fair 3.14 · @3.00
2.83Expected goals
1.55Nieciecza xG
1.27Ruch Chorzów xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Nieciecza 1.6 – 1.3 Ruch Chorzów expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nieciecza to win✓
44%
2.29
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.53
Draw no bet
Nieciecza (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Ruch Chorzów +1 (Asian handicap)✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Nieciecza to score first✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nieciecza / FT Nieciecza✗
26%
3.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.00
–
Recent results
Nieciecza – last 6
LDWWWW
25 Jul
@ Busko-Zdroj
1–6
L
18 Jul
@ Podbeskidzie
1–1
D
17 Jul
@ Korona Kielce
2–0
W
11 Jul
@ Sandecja Nowy Sącz
2–1
W
4 Jul
vs Resovia Rzeszów
4–0
W
27 Jun
@ Wisla Krakow
4–3
W
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ruch Chorzów – last 6
LLWLWW
18 Jul
@ Karviná
1–2
L
10 Jul
@ Wieczysta Kraków
0–2
L
4 Jul
vs Śląsk Wrocław II
1–0
W
24 May
@ Znicz Pruszków
2–3
L
17 May
@ Miedz Legnica
2–1
W
10 May
@ Tychy 71
4–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nieciecza and Ruch Chorzów.
What is the prediction for Nieciecza vs Ruch Chorzów?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Nieciecza vs Ruch Chorzów?
On our numbers Nieciecza have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ruch Chorzów 32%.
How many goals will there be in Nieciecza vs Ruch Chorzów?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nieciecza vs Ruch Chorzów?
Our predicted score is Nieciecza 1–1 Ruch Chorzów, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Nieciecza vs Ruch Chorzów?
Nieciecza vs Ruch Chorzów (I Liga) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
