Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultMiedz Legnica to win ✓63% · @1.62
Double chanceMiedz Legnica or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Miedz Legnica vs Stal Mielec: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the I Liga brings Miedz Legnica against Stal Mielec. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Miedz Legnica are 8th, upper half, on 20 points after 14 matches; Stal Mielec are 11th (lower half) with 19. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Miedz Legnica, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Odra Opole, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Stal Mielec, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Warta Poznań, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Stal Mielec, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.2 for Miedz Legnica.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Miedz Legnica 2.2 xG, Stal Mielec 1.0 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Miedz Legnica 63%, draw 24%, Stal Mielec 13%.
Lower-risk option: Miedz Legnica or draw (87%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Miedz Legnica or draw (87%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.15, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Miedz Legnica 2–0 Stal Mielec. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Miedz Legnica63%fair 1.59 · @1.62
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.80
Stal Mielec13%fair 7.76 · @4.20
3.20Expected goals
2.22Miedz Legnica xG
0.98Stal Mielec xG
60%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Miedz Legnica 2.2 – 1.0 Stal Mielec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Miedz Legnica to win✓
63%
1.59
1.62
Double chance
Miedz Legnica or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.50
Draw no bet
Miedz Legnica (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Miedz Legnica -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Miedz Legnica to score first✓
66%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Miedz Legnica ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Miedz Legnica / FT Miedz Legnica✓
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.16
–
Recent results
Miedz Legnica – last 6
LLLLDL
11 Oct
@ Odra Opole
0–1
L
3 Oct
@ Zaglebie Lubin
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Stal Rzeszów
2–3
L
13 Sep
@ Lechia Gdansk
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Chrobry Głogów
1–1
D
2 Sep
vs Chrobry Głogów
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Stal Mielec – last 6
WLLDDL
11 Oct
vs Warta Poznań
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Lechia Gdansk
1–7
L
14 Sep
vs Nieciecza
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Odra Opole
1–1
D
2 Sep
@ Górnik Łęczna
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Pogoń Siedlce
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Miedz Legnica and Stal Mielec.
What is the prediction for Miedz Legnica vs Stal Mielec?
Our pick is Miedz Legnica or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Miedz Legnica vs Stal Mielec?
On our numbers Miedz Legnica have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Stal Mielec 13%.
How many goals will there be in Miedz Legnica vs Stal Mielec?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Miedz Legnica vs Stal Mielec?
Our predicted score is Miedz Legnica 2–0 Stal Mielec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Miedz Legnica vs Stal Mielec?
Miedz Legnica vs Stal Mielec (I Liga) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
