Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Polonia Bytom to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPolonia Bytom to win ✓62% · @1.85
Double chancePolonia Bytom or draw ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.24
Polonia Bytom vs Chrobry Głogów: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Polonia Bytom welcome Chrobry Głogów to Boisko ul. Pilkarska 8 for a I Liga fixture on Saturday 17 October (14:30 WAT). In the table, Polonia Bytom are 3rd, among the top four, on 24 points after 14 matches; Chrobry Głogów are 14th (lower half) with 15.
Current form
Polonia Bytom, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Puszcza Niepołomice, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Chrobry Głogów, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Polonia Bytom, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Chrobry Głogów.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Polonia Bytom 1.9 xG, Chrobry Głogów 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Polonia Bytom 62%, draw 23%, Chrobry Głogów 14%.
Lower-risk option: Polonia Bytom or draw (86%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Polonia Bytom to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Polonia Bytom or draw (86%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Polonia Bytom 1–0 Chrobry Głogów. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Polonia Bytom62%fair 1.60 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.30
Chrobry Głogów14%fair 6.92 · @3.60
2.75Expected goals
1.93Polonia Bytom xG
0.82Chrobry Głogów xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%
From our goals model: Polonia Bytom 1.9 – 0.8 Chrobry Głogów expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Polonia Bytom to win✓
62%
1.60
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Polonia Bytom or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.70
Draw no bet
Polonia Bytom (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Polonia Bytom -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Polonia Bytom to score first✓
66%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Polonia Bytom ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Polonia Bytom / FT Polonia Bytom✓
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.24
–
Recent results
Polonia Bytom – last 6
WLDWDD
11 Oct
@ Puszcza Niepołomice
1–0
W
2 Oct
@ Raków Częstochowa
1–4
L
18 Sep
vs Ruch Chorzów
0–0
D
15 Sep
@ Widzew II
2–1
W
11 Sep
@ Polonia Warszawa
2–2
D
6 Sep
vs Podbeskidzie
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chrobry Głogów – last 6
LLLDDW
10 Oct
vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0–4
L
3 Oct
vs Warta Poznań
1–3
L
19 Sep
@ Polonia Warszawa
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Pogoń Siedlce
0–0
D
5 Sep
@ Miedz Legnica
1–1
D
2 Sep
@ Miedz Legnica
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Polonia Bytom and Chrobry Głogów.
What is the prediction for Polonia Bytom vs Chrobry Głogów?
Our pick is Polonia Bytom or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Polonia Bytom vs Chrobry Głogów?
On our numbers Polonia Bytom have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chrobry Głogów 14%.
How many goals will there be in Polonia Bytom vs Chrobry Głogów?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Polonia Bytom vs Chrobry Głogów?
Our predicted score is Polonia Bytom 1–0 Chrobry Głogów, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Polonia Bytom vs Chrobry Głogów?
Polonia Bytom vs Chrobry Głogów (I Liga) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Boisko ul. Pilkarska 8.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
