Arka Gdynia 61%Draw 24%Podbeskidzie 14%Expected goals 1.90 – 0.83
86%
Betarazi pick
Arka Gdynia or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Arka Gdynia to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultArka Gdynia to win ✓61% · @1.85
Double chanceArka Gdynia or draw ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.24
Arka Gdynia vs Podbeskidzie: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Podbeskidzie travel to face Arka Gdynia on Saturday 7 November in the I Liga, with Stadion Miejski w Gdyni the venue – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT. In the table, Arka Gdynia are 12th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Podbeskidzie are 15th (lower half) with 15. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Arka Gdynia, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Chrobry Głogów, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Podbeskidzie, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Warta Poznań, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Podbeskidzie, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Arka Gdynia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arka Gdynia 1.9 xG, Podbeskidzie 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arka Gdynia 61%, draw 24%, Podbeskidzie 14%.
Lower-risk option: Arka Gdynia or draw (86%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Arka Gdynia to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Arka Gdynia or draw (86%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arka Gdynia 1–0 Podbeskidzie. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arka Gdynia61%fair 1.63 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.40
Podbeskidzie14%fair 7.03 · @3.50
2.73Expected goals
1.90Arka Gdynia xG
0.83Podbeskidzie xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Arka Gdynia 1.9 – 0.8 Podbeskidzie expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arka Gdynia to win✓
61%
1.63
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Arka Gdynia or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.62
Draw no bet
Arka Gdynia (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Arka Gdynia -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.14
First team to score
Arka Gdynia to score first✗
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Arka Gdynia ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arka Gdynia / FT Arka Gdynia✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.24
–
Recent results
Arka Gdynia – last 6
DLWLLL
3 Nov
@ Chrobry Głogów
0–0
D
29 Oct
vs Stal Rzeszów
1–2
L
24 Oct
vs Nieciecza
3–1
W
18 Oct
@ Lechia Gdansk
1–2
L
10 Oct
vs Polonia Warszawa
1–2
L
20 Sep
@ Pogoń Siedlce
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Podbeskidzie – last 6
DWLWLD
31 Oct
vs Warta Poznań
1–1
D
25 Oct
vs Stal Rzeszów
2–1
W
18 Oct
@ ŁKS Łódź
0–1
L
9 Oct
vs Pogoń Siedlce
1–0
W
2 Oct
vs Třinec
0–3
L
20 Sep
vs Unia Skierniewice
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arka Gdynia and Podbeskidzie.
What is the prediction for Arka Gdynia vs Podbeskidzie?
Our pick is Arka Gdynia or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Arka Gdynia vs Podbeskidzie?
On our numbers Arka Gdynia have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Podbeskidzie 14%.
How many goals will there be in Arka Gdynia vs Podbeskidzie?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arka Gdynia vs Podbeskidzie?
Our predicted score is Arka Gdynia 1–0 Podbeskidzie, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Arka Gdynia vs Podbeskidzie?
Arka Gdynia vs Podbeskidzie (I Liga) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski w Gdyni.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
