Warta Poznań 33%Draw 22%Polonia Warszawa 46%Expected goals 1.26 – 1.55
67%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.38Odds
Picks by market
ResultPolonia Warszawa to win ✓46% · @2.21
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.97
Warta Poznań vs Polonia Warszawa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 7 November the I Liga brings Warta Poznań against Polonia Warszawa. Kick-off: 15:30 WAT. In the table, Warta Poznań are 9th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Polonia Warszawa are 1st (leading the league) with 25.
Current form
Warta Poznań, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Podbeskidzie, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Polonia Warszawa, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with ŁKS Łódź, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Polonia Warszawa, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Warta Poznań.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Warta Poznań 1.3 xG, Polonia Warszawa 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Warta Poznań 33%, draw 22%, Polonia Warszawa 46%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (67%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Warta Poznań 1–1 Polonia Warszawa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Warta Poznań33%fair 3.07 · @2.79
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Polonia Warszawa46%fair 2.19 · @2.21
2.81Expected goals
1.26Warta Poznań xG
1.55Polonia Warszawa xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Warta Poznań 1.3 – 1.6 Polonia Warszawa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Polonia Warszawa to win✓
46%
2.19
2.21
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.24
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.60
1.57
Draw no bet
Polonia Warszawa (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Warta Poznań +1 (Asian handicap)✗
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.19
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.69
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.12
First team to score
Polonia Warszawa to score first✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Polonia Warszawa / FT Polonia Warszawa✓
26%
3.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.97
–
Recent results
Warta Poznań – last 6
DLWLWW
31 Oct
@ Podbeskidzie
1–1
D
26 Oct
vs ŁKS Łódź
0–1
L
16 Oct
vs Unia Skierniewice
1–0
W
11 Oct
@ Stal Mielec
1–2
L
3 Oct
@ Chrobry Głogów
3–1
W
18 Sep
vs Puszcza Niepołomice
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Polonia Warszawa – last 6
DWDWWW
2 Nov
@ ŁKS Łódź
1–1
D
29 Oct
vs Korona Kielce
2–1
W
23 Oct
vs Miedz Legnica
1–1
D
17 Oct
@ Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Arka Gdynia
2–1
W
3 Oct
@ Jagiellonia
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Warta Poznań and Polonia Warszawa.
What is the prediction for Warta Poznań vs Polonia Warszawa?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Warta Poznań vs Polonia Warszawa?
On our numbers Warta Poznań have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Polonia Warszawa 46%.
How many goals will there be in Warta Poznań vs Polonia Warszawa?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Warta Poznań vs Polonia Warszawa?
Our predicted score is Warta Poznań 1–1 Polonia Warszawa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Warta Poznań vs Polonia Warszawa?
Warta Poznań vs Polonia Warszawa (I Liga) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
