Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Nieciecza to win @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNieciecza to win ✗61% · @1.80
Double chanceNieciecza or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.31
Nieciecza vs Chrobry Głogów: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nieciecza welcome Chrobry Głogów to Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza for a I Liga fixture on Saturday 7 November (15:30 WAT). In the table, Nieciecza are 6th, upper half, on 22 points after 14 matches; Chrobry Głogów are 14th (lower half) with 15.
Current form
Nieciecza, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Miedz Legnica, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Chrobry Głogów, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Arka Gdynia, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Nieciecza, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Chrobry Głogów.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nieciecza 1.9 xG, Chrobry Głogów 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nieciecza 61%, draw 24%, Chrobry Głogów 15%.
Lower-risk option: Nieciecza or draw (85%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Nieciecza to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Nieciecza or draw (85%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nieciecza 1–0 Chrobry Głogów. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nieciecza61%fair 1.64 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.40
Chrobry Głogów15%fair 6.80 · @3.70
2.66Expected goals
1.85Nieciecza xG
0.81Chrobry Głogów xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Nieciecza 1.9 – 0.8 Chrobry Głogów expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nieciecza to win✗
61%
1.64
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Nieciecza or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.67
Draw no bet
Nieciecza (draw no bet)
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Nieciecza -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.14
First team to score
Nieciecza to score first✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Nieciecza ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nieciecza / FT Nieciecza✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.31
–
Recent results
Nieciecza – last 6
DWLWDW
31 Oct
@ Miedz Legnica
1–1
D
27 Oct
@ Olimpia Grudziądz
1–0
W
24 Oct
@ Arka Gdynia
1–3
L
19 Oct
vs Puszcza Niepołomice
2–0
W
10 Oct
@ Unia Skierniewice
2–2
D
3 Oct
@ Cracovia Krakow
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chrobry Głogów – last 6
DWDLLL
3 Nov
vs Arka Gdynia
0–0
D
29 Oct
vs Polonia Bytom
2–0
W
24 Oct
@ Stal Mielec
0–0
D
17 Oct
@ Polonia Bytom
2–3
L
10 Oct
vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0–4
L
3 Oct
vs Warta Poznań
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nieciecza and Chrobry Głogów.
What is the prediction for Nieciecza vs Chrobry Głogów?
Our pick is Nieciecza or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Nieciecza vs Chrobry Głogów?
On our numbers Nieciecza have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chrobry Głogów 15%.
How many goals will there be in Nieciecza vs Chrobry Głogów?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nieciecza vs Chrobry Głogów?
Our predicted score is Nieciecza 1–0 Chrobry Głogów, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Nieciecza vs Chrobry Głogów?
Nieciecza vs Chrobry Głogów (I Liga) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
