Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Mornar to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMornar to win ✗61% · @1.85
Double chanceMornar or draw ✗84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.08
Mornar vs Otrant-Olympic: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mornar welcome Otrant-Olympic to Stadion Topolica for a First League fixture on Monday 14 September (18:00 WAT). In the table, Mornar are 3rd, among the top four, on 24 points after 15 matches; Otrant-Olympic are 1st (leading the league) with 27. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Mornar, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sutjeska, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Otrant-Olympic, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Bokelj, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mornar 1.6 xG, Otrant-Olympic 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mornar 61%, draw 23%, Otrant-Olympic 16%.
Lower-risk option: Mornar or draw (84%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Mornar to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Mornar or draw (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mornar 1–0 Otrant-Olympic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mornar61%fair 1.64 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.00
Otrant-Olympic16%fair 6.37 · @3.90
2.29Expected goals
1.62Mornar xG
0.67Otrant-Olympic xG
50%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Mornar 1.6 – 0.7 Otrant-Olympic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mornar to win✗
61%
1.64
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Mornar or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.73
Draw no bet
Mornar (draw no bet)✗
80%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Mornar -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Mornar to score first✗
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mornar / FT Mornar✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.08
–
Recent results
Mornar – last 6
LWDWWD
8 Sep
@ Sutjeska
0–1
L
3 Sep
vs Bokelj
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ Petrovac
1–1
D
21 Aug
vs Buducnost Podgorica
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Mladost DG
3–2
W
7 Aug
vs Arsenal Tivat
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Otrant-Olympic – last 6
LWWLWD
10 Sep
@ Bokelj
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Buducnost Podgorica
2–0
W
30 Aug
@ Arsenal Tivat
2–1
W
23 Aug
vs Dečić
0–3
L
15 Aug
@ Sutjeska
4–1
W
9 Aug
vs Petrovac
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mornar and Otrant-Olympic.
What is the prediction for Mornar vs Otrant-Olympic?
Our pick is Mornar or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Mornar vs Otrant-Olympic?
On our numbers Mornar have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Otrant-Olympic 16%.
How many goals will there be in Mornar vs Otrant-Olympic?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mornar vs Otrant-Olympic?
Our predicted score is Mornar 1–0 Otrant-Olympic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Mornar vs Otrant-Olympic?
Mornar vs Otrant-Olympic (First League) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Topolica.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
