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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Petrovac v Arsenal Tivat: numbers & prediction

First League · Montenegro · Stadion Mitar Mico Golis
1–2
FT
Petrovac 64%Draw 23%Arsenal Tivat 13% Expected goals 1.12 – 0.24
64%
Betarazi pick

Petrovac to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultPetrovac to win ✗64% · @1.70
Double chancePetrovac or draw ✗87% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗29% · fair 3.49

Petrovac vs Arsenal Tivat: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 14 September the First League brings Petrovac against Arsenal Tivat at Stadion Mitar Mico Golis. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Petrovac are 7th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Arsenal Tivat are 10th (in the drop zone) with 9.

Current form

Petrovac, last 5: DDDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dečić, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Arsenal Tivat, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Mladost DG, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Petrovac, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Arsenal Tivat.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended Arsenal Tivat 3–1 Petrovac. The last 2 head-to-heads: Petrovac 1 win, Arsenal Tivat 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Petrovac 1.1 xG, Arsenal Tivat 0.2 xG – a total near 1.4. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 84% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Petrovac 64%, draw 23%, Arsenal Tivat 13%.
  • Lower-risk option: Petrovac or draw (87%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: NG (60%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Petrovac to win (64%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Petrovac 1–0 Arsenal Tivat. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Petrovac64%fair 1.56 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.00
Arsenal Tivat13%fair 7.55 · @4.80
1.36Expected goals
1.12Petrovac xG
0.24Arsenal Tivat xG
40%Both score
16%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–029%
0–026%
2–016%
1–17%
0–16%
3–06%

From our goals model: Petrovac 1.1 – 0.2 Arsenal Tivat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPetrovac to win ✗64%1.561.70 ▲
Double chancePetrovac or draw ✗87%1.151.15
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗60%1.661.57
Draw no betPetrovac (draw no bet) ✗83%1.21–
Asian handicapArsenal Tivat +1 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗61%1.65–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗84%1.19–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓99%1.01–
First team to scorePetrovac to score first ✗61%1.64–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗58%1.73–
Half-time / full-timeHT Petrovac / FT Petrovac ✗34%2.96–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗29%3.49–

Recent results

Petrovac – last 6

DDDDWD
9 Sep@ Dečić1–1D
4 Sepvs Sutjeska0–0D
29 Augvs Mornar1–1D
22 Aug@ Mladost DG0–0D
16 Augvs Jezero3–0W
9 Aug@ Otrant-Olympic0–0D
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Arsenal Tivat – last 6

LLLDDD
10 Sepvs Mladost DG0–1L
5 Sep@ Jezero2–5L
30 Augvs Otrant-Olympic1–2L
23 Aug@ Bokelj0–0D
16 Augvs Buducnost Podgorica0–0D
7 Aug@ Mornar0–0D
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Apr 2026Arsenal Tivat v Petrovac3–1
1 Mar 2026Petrovac v Arsenal Tivat1–0
Petrovac vs Arsenal Tivat head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Otrant-Olympic15834+927
2Buducnost Podgorica15744+425
3Mornar15663+624
4Sutjeska15654+623
5Dečić14635+321
6Bokelj14545-119
7Petrovac14464+218
8Jezero15465-518
9Mladost DG15339-1412
10Arsenal Tivat14167-109

More First League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Petrovac vs Arsenal Tivat?

Our pick is Petrovac to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Petrovac vs Arsenal Tivat?

On our numbers Petrovac have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Arsenal Tivat 13%.

How many goals will there be in Petrovac vs Arsenal Tivat?

We expect about 1.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 16% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Petrovac vs Arsenal Tivat?

Our predicted score is Petrovac 1–0 Arsenal Tivat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.4 goals in total.

When is Petrovac vs Arsenal Tivat?

Petrovac vs Arsenal Tivat (First League) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Mitar Mico Golis.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.